Engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2022, ukusebenza okuphelele kwe-isopropanolimakethe ibingagculisi.Amanye amandla amasha akhululiwe, kodwa uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka odlule, amandla athile asusiwe futhi umthamo uhlala uzinzile, kodwa ingcindezi yokuhlinzeka kanye nesidingo ihlala ingapheli.Ingcindezi yokusungula kwezinye izitshalo isancike ekusizeni izidingo zokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe, futhi amanani emakethe abe kakhulu emazingeni aphansi kuya kwaphakathi ane-amplitude elinganiselwe eminyakeni yamuva.

Engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2022, imakethe ye-isopropanol iyonke yayisezingeni eliphansi ukuya kweliphakathi.Emakethe ye-Jiangsu, isibonelo, intengo yemakethe emaphakathi engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka yayiyi-7,343 yuan / ton, ikhuphuke ngo-00 yuan.62% YoY futhi yehle ngo-11.17% YoY.Phakathi kwazo, intengo ephakeme kakhulu ye-8,000 yuan / ton, eyavela maphakathi no-March, intengo ephansi kakhulu ye-7,000 yuan / ton, eyavela ngo-Ephreli..29%.

I-amplitude elinganiselwe yokuguquguquka kwezikhawu

Engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2022, imakethe ye-isopropanol ngokuyisisekelo ikhombise ukuthambekela kokuqala phezulu naphansi, kepha isikhala sokuguquguquka besilinganiselwe.Kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya kuMashi, imakethe ye-isopropanol yakhuphuka ikhuphuka.Ekuqaleni koMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo, imisebenzi yokuhweba ezimakethe yehla kancane kancane, futhi izingxenye eziningi zokuthenga nokuthengisa zazisesimweni sokulinda nokubona, futhi intengo yemakethe ngokuyisisekelo yaguquguquka kububanzi obungu-7050-7250 yuan/ton;ngemva koMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo, imakethe yezinto zokusetshenziswa ezikhuphukayo i-acetone ne-propylene yakhuphuka yafinyelela amazinga ahlukene, iqhuba umdlandla wezimboni ze-isopropanol.Isikhungo sokuxoxisana ngemakethe yotshwala ye-isopropyl yasekhaya ye-gravity ngokushesha sakhuphuka safinyelela ku-7,500-7,550 yuan / ton, kodwa ngenxa yokululama kancane kwesidingo esibulalayo, imakethe kancane kancane yabuyela ku-7,250-7,300 yuan / ton;Isidingo sangoMashi sokuthekelisa sinamandla, ezinye izimboni zokuthekelisa zotshwala be-isopropyl ezibekwe ngaphezulu kwamanani entengo kawoyela ongahluziwe we-WTI asheshe adlula ama- $ 120 / umgqomo, izitshalo zotshwala be-isopropyl kanye nokunikezwa kwezimakethe kuyaqhubeka nokuba ngcono.Ngaphansi komqondo wokuthenga okwehlayo, inhloso yokuthenga yanda.Maphakathi no-March, imakethe yase ikhuphukele ezingeni eliphezulu lika-7,900-8,000 yuan/ton.Imakethe ye-isopropanol yehle kusukela ngoMashi kuze kube sekupheleni kuka-Ephreli.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngoMashi, imboni ye-isopropanol ye-Ningbo Juhua yakhiqizwa ngempumelelo ukuze ithunyelwe kwamanye amazwe futhi ibhalansi yokufunwa kwemakethe yaphulwa futhi.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngo-April, amandla okusebenza esifundeni ehla, okuholele ekuncipheni kancane kancane kwesidingo sohwebo lwangaphakathi.Cishe ngo-Ephreli, intengo yemakethe yehle yafika ezingeni eliphansi lika-7,000-7,100 yuan/ton.NgoMeyi-Juni, imakethe ye-isopropanol yayilawulwa yi-oscillations emincane.ngemva kokuba intengo iqhubekile nokuwa ngo-April, amanye amayunithi isopropanol ezifuywayo wagxila yokupaka kanye nokugcinwa, futhi imakethe kuqiniswe ngamanani aphansi, kodwa isidingo sasekhaya sasiyisicaba.Ngemuva kokuphela kokulungiswa kokuthekelisa, umfutho wezintengo zemakethe azanele.Kulesi sigaba, uhla olujwayelekile lokusebenza lwemakethe luyi-7,200-7,400 yuan/ton.

Ukwenyuka kwesimo sokuhlinzekwa kwempahla kuyabonakala, futhi isidingo sokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe siphinde sakhuphuka

Mayelana nokukhiqizwa kwasekhaya, iyunithi ye-Ningbo Juhua engu-50,000 t/a isopropanol yakhiqizwa ngempumelelo futhi yathunyelwa kwamanye amazwe ngoMashi, kodwa ngesikhathi esifanayo, iyunithi ye-Dongying Haike engu-50,000 t/a isopropanol yahlakazwa.Ngokusho kwendlela yolwazi ye-Zhuo Chuang, isuswe kumthamo wokukhiqiza we-isopropanol, ukuze umthamo wokukhiqiza we-isopropanol wasekhaya uhlale uzinzile kumathani ayi-115.80,000.Mayelana nokukhiqiza, isidingo sokuthumela kwamanye amazwe engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka sasilungile, futhi ukukhiqizwa kwakunomkhuba okhuphukayo.Ngokusho kwezibalo zolwazi lweZhuo Chuang, engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2022, ukukhiqizwa kwe-isopropanol yaseChina cishe amathani ayizigidi ezingu-25%.59, ukwanda kwamathani angu-60,000 noma 30%.63%.

Izinto ezithunyelwa kwamanye amazwe:Impahla ephumayo isezingeni eliphansi ngenxa yokwenyuka kokuhlinzekwa kwasekhaya kanye nokuhlinzekwa kwezidingo zangaphakathi ngokweqile kanye nesidingo.Kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya kuJuni 2022, i-China ingenise amathani angaba ngu-19.3 000 we-isopropanol, ehle ngamathani angu-000.22 amathani ayizinkulungwane, ukwehla ngo-10.23 %.

Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe: Akukho ukwehla kwengcindezi yokuhlinzekwa kwasekhaya, futhi ingcindezi yokusungula kwezinye izitshalo isancike ekwehleni kwesidingo sokuthekelisa. Kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya kuJuni 2022, inani eliphelele lokuthunyelwa kwe-isopropanol eChina lalicishe libe ngamathani angama-89,300, likhuphuke amathani angama-40,000. 89.05%.

Izinqubo ezimbili zenzuzo eyisamba kanye nokwehluka kokukhiqiza

Ngokusho kukaZhuo Chuang ulwazi lwezibalo ze-isopropyl alcohol theory gross gross profit model model, ingxenye yokuqala ka-2022, isopropyl alcohol acetone hydrogenation process theory gross gross 603 yuan / ton, ephakeme kunesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule 630 yuan / ton, ukwanda ngo-333%. ;propylene hydration indlela isopropyl utshwala inqubo theory inzuzo eyingqikithi 120 yuan / ton, ephansi kunesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule 1138 yuan / ton, phansi 90%.46%.Kusukela ku-isopropyl alcohol dual process ye-gross profit comparison ishadi lingabonwa, 2022, isopropyl alcohol two process theory of gross profit trend ihlukaniswe, theory ye-acetone hydrogenation process theory of gross profit level izinzile, isilinganiso senzuzo sanyanga zonke ngokuyisisekelo sishintshashintsha phakathi kwama-500-700 yuan. / ton, kodwa propylene hydration process theory of gross profit once ukulahlekelwa cishe 600 yuan / ton.Uma kuqhathaniswa nenzuzo enkulu yalezi zinqubo ezimbili, inzuzo yenqubo ye-isopropyl alcohol acetone hydrogenation okwamanje ingcono kunaleyo yamanzi e-propylene.

Kusukela kudatha yesidingo sokukhiqizwa kotshwala be-isopropyl eminyakeni yamuva nje, izinga lokukhula kwesidingo sasekhaya alizange lihambisane nokwanda kwamandla okukhiqiza.Esimweni sokweqisa kwesikhathi eside, izinga lenzuzo yethiyori yezitshalo ze-isopropanol libe yisici esibalulekile ekunqumeni izinga lokuqala.Ngo-2022, inzuzo enkulu yenqubo ye-isopropanol hydrogenation iyaqhubeka idlula amanzi e-propylene, okwenza umkhiqizo wesitshalo wenqubo ye-isopropanol hydrogenation ube phezulu kakhulu kunamanzi e-propylene.Ngokusho kukaZhuo Chuang ukuqapha idatha yolwazi: engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2022, ukukhiqizwa kwe-isopropanol kubalele cishe u-80% wengqikithi yokukhiqiza kazwelonke.73%.

Gxila kumathrendi ezindleko kanye nesidingo sokuthumela ngaphandle engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka

Engxenyeni yesibili ka-2022, kusukela ekuhlinzekeni nasekufuneni okuyisisekelo, awekho amayunithi amasha e-isopropanol emakethe, umthamo wokukhiqiza we-isopropanol wasekhaya uzohlala amathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.158, futhi ukukhiqizwa kwasekhaya kusabuswa inqubo ye-acetone hydrogenation.Ngobungozi obukhulayo bokukhuphuka kwemali emnothweni womhlaba, isidingo sokuthekelisa se-isopropanol siba buthaka.Ngesikhathi esifanayo, isidingo se-terminal yasekhaya siyashesha ukubuyisela, noma "inkathi ephakeme kakhulu ayiphumeleli" engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, ukuhlinzekwa nokufunwa kwengcindezi akukakancishiswa.Ngokombono wezindleko, kucatshangelwa enye imishini emisha ye-phenolic engxenyeni yesibili yalo nyaka, ukuthengiswa kwemakethe ye-acetone ngokweqile, umkhawulo ongaphezulu wamanani we-acetone wempahla eluhlaza uzoqhubeka nemodi yomthelela ophansi;ingxenye yesibili yalo nyaka, umthelela wenqubomgomo yokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo ye-Federal Reserve kanye nengozi yokuwohloka komnotho eYurophu nase-United States, ukugxila kwamanani kawoyela ngamazwe kungase kwehle.Uhlangothi lwezindleko luyisici esiyinhloko esithinta amanani e-propylene, amanani emakethe ye-propylene azokwehla uma kuqhathaniswa nengxenye yesibili yalo nyaka.Ngokuvamile, ukucindezela kwezindleko kumabhizinisi e-isopropanol akubalulekile okwamanje, futhi ingcindezi yezindleko kumabhizinisi e-propylene hydrate isopropanol kulindeleke ukuthi ikhululwe, kodwa ngesikhathi esifanayo, lapho kungekho ukusekelwa kwezindleko okuphumelelayo, ikhono le-propylene hydrate isopropanol. Imakethe ye-isopropanol ukuze iphinde iboshwe ayanele.Imakethe yotshwala ye-Isopropyl kulindeleke ukuthi igcine uhla lwephethini lokuguquguquka engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, igxile ekuthambekeni kwentengo ye-acetone ekhuphukayo kanye nezinguquko ezidingweni zokuthekelisa.

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