Ngamaholide oSuku lukaMeyi, imakethe kawoyela ongahluziwe yamazwe ngamazwe yawa, kanti imakethe kawoyela ongahluziwe yase-US yehla ngaphansi kwama-dollar angama-65 umphongolo ngamunye, nokwehla okukhulayo okufika ku-$10 umphongolo ngamunye.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, isigameko seBhange LaseMelika saphinde saphazamisa izimpahla eziyingozi, ngowoyela ongahluziwe ubhekene nokwehla okuphawulekayo emakethe yezimpahla;Ngakolunye uhlangothi, i-Federal Reserve inyuse izilinganiso zenzalo ngamaphuzu angu-25 njengoba kuhleliwe, futhi imakethe iphinde ikhathazeke ngengozi yokuwohloka komnotho.Ngokuzayo, ngemva kokukhululwa kokugxila engozini, imakethe kulindeleke ukuthi izinze, ngokusekelwa okuqinile okuvela emazingeni aphansi adlule, futhi igxile ekwehliseni ukukhiqizwa.

Umkhuba kawoyela ongahluziwe

 

Uwoyela ongahluziwe wehle ngo-11.3% ngesikhathi samaholide oSuku lukaMeyi
Ngomhla lu-1 kuNhlaba, intengo iyonke kawoyela ongahluziwe yaguquguquka, nowoyela ongahluziwe wase-US uguquguquka cishe ku-$75 umphongolo ngaphandle kokwehla okukhulu.Kodwa-ke, ngokombono wevolumu yokuhweba, iphansi kakhulu kunesikhathi sangaphambilini, okubonisa ukuthi imakethe ikhethe ukulinda futhi ibone, ilinde isinqumo sokukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo esilandelayo ye-Fed.
Njengoba iBhange LaseMelika lihlangabezana nenye inkinga futhi imakethe yathatha isinyathelo kusenesikhathi ngombono wokulinda nokubona, amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe aqala ukwehla ngoMeyi 2, afinyelela ezingeni elibalulekile lama-$70 ngomphongolo ngosuku olufanayo.Ngomhla zi-3 kuNhlaba, iFederal Reserve yamemezela ukwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo ngamaphuzu angama-25, okubangele ukuthi amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe ehle futhi, kanye nowoyela ongahluziwe wase-US ngaphansi ngokuqondile komkhawulo obalulekile wama-$70 umphongolo ngamunye.Lapho imakethe ivulwa ngoMeyi 4th, uwoyela ongahluziwe wase-US waze wehla wafinyelela ku-$63.64 emgqonyeni ngamunye futhi waqala ukuphindeka.
Ngakho-ke, ezinsukwini ezine ezedlule zokuhweba, ukwehla okuphezulu kakhulu kwamanani entengo kawoyela ongahluziwe phakathi nosuku bekuphezulu njengo-$10 umphongolo ngamunye, ngokuyisisekelo kuqedela ukukhuphuka okuphindiwe okulethwe ukuncishiswa kokukhiqizwa kokuzithandela kwangaphambi kwesikhathi yiNhlangano Yezizwe Ezihlangene njengeSaudi Arabia.
Izinkathazo zokuwohloka komnotho yizona ezihamba phambili
Uma sibheka emuva ngasekupheleni kukaMashi, amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe nawo aqhubekile nokwehla ngenxa yesigameko saseBank of America, lapho amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe aseMelika afika ku-$65 emgqonyeni ngesikhathi esisodwa.Ukuze kuguqulwe lokho obekulindelwe ngaleso sikhathi, iSaudi Arabia ibambisene namazwe amaningi ukunciphisa ukukhiqizwa ngemiphongolo efinyelela ezigidini eziyi-1.6 ngosuku, ngethemba lokugcina amanani aphezulu kawoyela ngokuqiniswa kohlangothi lokunikezela;Ngakolunye uhlangothi, i-Federal Reserve yashintsha okulindeleke ukuthi ikhuphule amanani enzalo ngamaphoyinti angu-50 ngo-March futhi yashintsha imisebenzi yayo yokukhuphula inzalo ngamaphoyinti angu-25 ngayinye ngo-March no-May, ukunciphisa ukucindezeleka komnotho omkhulu.Ngakho-ke, eqhutshwa yilezi zici ezimbili ezinhle, amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe akhuphuka ngokushesha asuka emazingeni aphansi, futhi uwoyela ongahluziwe wase-US wabuyela ekuguquguqukeni kuka-$80 umphongolo ngamunye.
Umnyombo wesigameko seBhange LaseMelika ukushoda kwezimali.Uchungechunge lwezenzo ze-Federal Reserve kanye nohulumeni wase-US lungabambezela ukukhishwa kwezingcuphe kakhulu ngangokunokwenzeka, kodwa alukwazi ukuxazulula ubungozi.Njengoba i-Federal Reserve inyusa izilinganiso zenzalo ngamanye amaphuzu angu-25, izilinganiso zenzalo zase-US zihlala ziphezulu kanye nezingozi zokushoda kwemali zivela futhi.
Ngakho-ke, ngemva kwenye inkinga ngeBhange LaseMelika, i-Federal Reserve inyuse amanani enzalo ngamaphoyinti angu-25 njengoba kwakuhleliwe.Lezi zici ezimbili ezingezinhle zenze imakethe yakhathazeka ngengozi yokuwohloka komnotho, okuholele ekwehleni kwenani lempahla eyingozi kanye nokwehla okukhulu kukawoyela ongahluziwe.
Ngemuva kokwehla kukawoyela ongahluziwe, ukukhula okuhle okwalethwa ukuncishiswa kokukhiqizwa okuhlanganyelwe yiSaudi Arabia nabanye kwaqedwa.Lokhu kukhombisa ukuthi emakethe yamanje kawoyela ongahluziwe, ingqondo ebusayo kakhulu inamandla kakhulu kunomqondo oyisisekelo wokunciphisa ukunikezwa.
Ukwesekwa okuqinile okuvela ekuncishisweni kokukhiqiza, ukuzinza esikhathini esizayo
Ingabe amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe azoqhubeka ehla?Ngokusobala, ngokombono oyisisekelo nowokunikeza, kunokusekelwa okucacile ngezansi.
Ngokombono wesakhiwo se-inventory, ukukhishwa kwempahla kawoyela wase-US kuyaqhubeka, ikakhulukazi ngenani eliphansi likawoyela ongahluziwe.Yize i-United States izoqoqa futhi igcine ngokuzayo, ukuqoqwa kohlu lwamagama kuhamba kancane.Ukwehla kwentengo ngaphansi kwe-inventory ephansi ngokuvamile kubonisa ukwehla kokumelana.
Ngokombono wokuhlinzeka, iSaudi Arabia izokwehlisa ukukhiqizwa ngoMeyi.Ngenxa yokukhathazeka kwemakethe ngengcuphe yokuwohloka komnotho, ukuncishiswa kokukhiqizwa kwe-Saudi Arabia kungakhuthaza ibhalansi ehlobene phakathi kokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo ngokumelene nesizinda sokwehla kwesidingo, okunikeza ukwesekwa okukhulu.
Ukwehla okubangelwa ingcindezi ye-macroeconomic kudinga ukunakwa kohlangothi lwesidingo emakethe ebonakalayo.Noma ngabe imakethe yendawo ibonisa izimpawu zobuthakathaka, i-OPEC+ inethemba lokuthi isimo sengqondo sokunciphisa ukukhiqizwa eSaudi Arabia nakwamanye amazwe singanikeza ukwesekwa okuqinile okuphansi.Ngakho-ke, ngemva kokukhishwa okulandelanayo kokugxila engozini, kulindeleke ukuthi uwoyela ongahluziwe wase-US uzinze futhi ulondoloze ukushintshashintsha kwama-$65 kuya ku-$70 ngomphongolo.


Isikhathi sokuthumela: May-06-2023