Ngesikhathi seholide lemini, imakethe yamafutha e-International Crude yonke, ngemakethe yamafutha ka-US Creade iwe ngaphansi kwama- $ 65 nge-REMBORTER Ngakolunye uhlangothi, iBhange Lebhange laseMelika liphinde laphazamisa izimpahla eziyingozi, ngamafutha aluhlaza abhekene nokwehla okubaluleke kakhulu emakethe yezimpahla; Ngakolunye uhlangothi, i-Federal Reserve yaphakamisa amanani emalimboleko ngamaphuzu angama-25 njengoba kuhlelwe, futhi imakethe iphinde yathinteka ngobungozi bokuwohloka komnotho. Esikhathini esizayo, ngemuva kokukhishwa kokuhlushwa kwengozi, imakethe kulindeleke ukuthi iqinise, ngokusekelwa okuqinile kusuka emazingeni aphansi ngaphambili, futhi kugxilwe ekunciphiseni ukukhiqizwa.

Uwoyela ongahluziwe wabhekana nokuwohloka okubandayo kwe-11.3% phakathi neholide lemini
NgoMeyi 1st, inani eliphelele lamafutha aluhlaza liguqulwa, nangu-US Crude uwoyela oguqukayo ezungeze ama- $ 75 ngencipha enkulu ngaphandle kokuwohloka okukhulu. Kodwa-ke, ngokombono wevolumu yokuhweba, iphansi kakhulu kunesikhathi esedlule, okukhombisa ukuthi imakethe ikhethe ukulinda isinqumo esilandelayo senzalo elandelayo.
Njengoba ibhange laseMelika lihlangabezana nenye inkinga futhi imakethe yathatha isinyathelo sokuqala ngombono wokulinda nokubona, amanani entengo kawoyela ama-crude aqala ukunqwabelana ngoMeyi 2, esondela ku-RELL eBikela ngasikhathi sinye. NgoMeyi 3rd, i-Federal Reserve yamemezela inani lenzalo engama-25 lihamba nge-25, okubangela amanani entengo kawoyela aluhlaza awela futhi, futhi thina uwoyela ongahluphi ngokuqondile, futhi thina uwoyela ongahluphi ngqo ngaphansi komkhawulo obalulekile we- $ 70 nge-barrel ebalulekile. Lapho imakethe ivulwa ngoMeyi 4, uwoyela ongahluziwe waze wawela ku- $ 63.64 umgqomo nge- $ 63.64 ngebha ngalinye futhi waqala ukuphinda.
Ngakho-ke, ezinsukwini ezine zokuhweba, ukwehla okuphezulu kakhulu kwamanani kawoyela we-crude kwaphezulu kwaphezulu kwe- $ 10 ngomgqomo ngamunye, ngokuyisisekelo okuphothula ukuphindisela okuphezulu okulethwe ukunqunywa kokukhiqizwa kokuzithandela kwangaphambi kokuzithandela nge-United Nations.
Ukukhathazeka okwenziwe kabusha kungamandla amakhulu okushayela
Uma ngibheka emuva ngasekupheleni kukaMashi, amanani entengo kawoyela we-crude nawo aqhubeka nokuncipha ngenxa yesigameko sasebhange laseMelika, nathi amanani entengo kawoyela e-US eshaya ama- $ 65 nge-barrel ngayinye ngephuzu elilodwa. Ukuze uguqule okulindelwe yithemba ngaleso sikhathi, iSaudi Arabia isebenzisana ngenkuthalo ngamazwe amaningi ukunciphisa ukukhiqizwa yimigqomo engafika kwezigidi eziyi-1,6 ngosuku, ngethemba lokugcina amanani entengo aphezulu ngokuqiniseka; Ngakolunye uhlangothi, i-Federal Reserve iguqule okulindelwe kokuphakamisa amanani entengo yezimali ngama-50 March ngoMashi futhi yashintsha ukusebenza kwayo kokuphakamisa amanani enzalo ngezilinganiso ezingama-25 nangaseMeyi, kunciphisa ukucindezela kwe-macroeconomic. Ngakho-ke, eqhutshwa yilezi zinto ezimbili ezinhle, amanani entengo kawoyela aluhlaza athuthuke ngokushesha kusuka ezindlini, futhi uwoyela ongahluziwe wabuyela ekuguquguqukeni kwama- $ 80 nge-barrel ngayinye.
Umongo weBhange Lezigameko zeBhange Lezincwadi ze-America liyimali yemali. Uchungechunge lwezenzo ezenziwa yi-Federal Reserve kanti uhulumeni wase-US angabambezela ukukhishwa engcupheni ngangokunokwenzeka, kodwa kodwa awakwazi ukuxazulula ubungozi. Nge-Federal Reserve enyusa amanani wenzalo ngamanye amaphuzu angama-25, amanani enzalo aseMelika ahlala enobungozi obuphezulu kanye nemali yemali ye-liquidity avela kabusha.
Ngakho-ke, emva kwenye inkinga ngeBhange Le-America, i-Federal Reserve yaphakamisa amanani emalimboleko ngamaphuzu angama-25 njengoba kuhleliwe. Lezi zinto ezimbili ezingezinhle ziye zashukumisela imakethe ukuthi ikhathazeke ngengozi yokuwohloka komnotho, okuholela ekwehleni kokuqanjwa kwezimpahla eziyingozi kanye nokwehla okubalulekile kumafutha aluhlaza.
Ngemuva kokwehla kwamafutha aluhlaza, ukukhula okuhle kwaletha ukuncishiswa kokukhiqizwa kokuhlangana okuhlangene ngeSaudi Arabia kanti abanye bekuqediwe. Lokhu kukhombisa ukuthi emakethe yamafutha e-crude, i-macro evelele iqine kakhulu kune-logic yokuncipha okuyisisekelo.
Ukusekelwa okuqinile kokuncishiswa kokukhiqizwa, okuqinisile esikhathini esizayo
Ngabe amanani entengo kawoyela azoqhubeka anciphise? Ngokusobala, ekuboneni okuyisisekelo nokuphakelayo, kukhona ukwesekwa okucacile ngezansi.
Ngokombono wesakhiwo sokusungula, ukusungulwa kwamafutha okusungula uwoyela wase-US kuyaqhubeka, ikakhulukazi ngokusungula kukawoyela ongaphansi. Yize i-United States iyoqoqa futhi igcine ngokuzayo, ukunqwabelana kokusungula kuhamba kancane. Ukwehla kwentengo ngaphansi kokusungula okuphansi kuvame ukukhombisa ukwehla kokumelana.
Ngokombono wokuphakelayo, iSaudi Arabia izonciphisa ukukhiqizwa ngoMeyi. Ngenxa yokukhathazeka kwemakethe ngengozi yokuwohloka komnotho, ukuncishiswa kokukhiqizwa kwe-Saudi Arabia kungakhuthaza ukulinganisela okulinganiselwe phakathi kokuhlinzekwa kanye nokufunwa ngokumelene nemuva lokuncipha kwesidingo, ukuhlinzeka ukwesekwa okubalulekile.
Ukwehla okubangelwa yingcindezi ye-macroeconomic kudinga ukunakwa kokuncipha kohlangothi lwesidingo emakethe ebonakalayo. Noma imakethe yebala ikhombisa izimpawu zobuthakathaka, i-OPEC + inethemba lokuthi isimo sokunciphisa ukukhiqizwa eSaudi Arabia nakwamanye amazwe singanikeza ukwesekwa okuqinile. Ngakho-ke, ngemuva kokukhishwa okulandelayo kokuhlushwa kwengozi, kulindeleke ukuthi u-US Crude uwoyela uzozinza futhi alondoloze ukuguquguquka kwama- $ 65 kuya ku- $ 70 nge- $ 70 nge- $ 70 nge- $ 70 nge-MARBER.