Kusukela ngasekupheleni kukaJuni, intengo ye-STYRENLE iqhubeke nokukhuphuka cishe ngo-940 yuan / ithoni, ishintsha ukwehla okuqhubekayo kwikota yesibili, ukuphoqa izimboni ezifuywayo ezimfushane zithengisa izikhundla zazo. Ingabe ukukhula kuzokwehla ngezansi okulindelwe futhi ngo-Agasti? Ukuthi isidingo seJinjiu singakhishwa ngaphambi kwesikhathi siyisizathu esiyinhloko sokunquma ukuthi intengo ye-styrene ingaqhubeka iqine.
Kunezizathu ezintathu eziphambili zokwanda kwamanani e-styrene ngoJulayi: Okokuqala, ukukhuphuka okuqhubekayo kwamanani kawoyela wamazwe omhlaba kuholele ekuthuthukisweni kwemizwa yaseMacroeconomic; Okwesibili, ukukhula kokuphakela kuphansi kunalokho obekulindelwe, okuholela ekwehleni kokukhiqizwa kwe-styrene, ukuqalisa kabusha kwemishini yokulungisa, nokuvalwa okungahleliwe kwemishini yokukhiqiza; Okwesithathu, isidingo sokuthekelisa okungahlelwanga sikhuphukile.
Amanani entengo kawoyela aphesheya ayaqhubeka ukukhuphuka, futhi umuzwa we-macroeconomic uthuthuka
NgoJulayi walo nyaka, amanani entengo wamafutha omhlaba aqala ukukhuphuka, ngokwenyuka okukhulu ezinsukwini zokuqala eziyishumi bese eshintsha amazinga aphezulu. Izizathu zokwanda kwamanani entengo kawoyela wamazwe aqukethe: 1 2. I-I-US I-Inflation Data ye-CPI iphansi kunokulindelwe kwemakethe, okuholela kudola laseMelika elibuthakathaka. Ukulindela Kwemakethe ye-Federal Reserve ukunyusa amanani enzalo kulo nyaka kwehle, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi kuqhubeke ukukhulisa amanani emali enzalo ngoJulayi, kepha angamisa ngoSepthemba. Ngokuphikisana ne-backrop ye-slowlines rate rate hikes kanye nedola laseMelika elibuthakathaka, isifiso sobungozi emakethe yezimpahla sekwenziwe kabusha, futhi uwoyela ongahluziwe uyaqhubeka nokuvuka. Ukukhuphuka kwamanani entengo yamawoyela omhlaba kuqhubekele inani le-benzene emsulwa. Yize ukukhuphuka kwamanani entengo eStyrene ngoJulayi kwakungaqhutshwa yi-benzene emsulwa, akuzange kudonse ukwenyuka kwamanani entengo e-styrene. Kusuka kuMfanekiso 1, kungabonakala ukuthi inkambiso ephakeme ye-benzene emsulwa ayilungile njenge-styrene, futhi inzuzo ye-styrene iyaqhubeka nokuthuthuka.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, isimo se-macro siguqukile nale nyanga, ngokukhishwa okuzayo kwemibhalo efanele ukukhuthaza ukusetshenziswa kukhulisa imizwa yemakethe. Imakethe kulindeleke ukuthi ibe nezinqubomgomo ezifanele engqungqutheleni yezomnotho yeCentral Poproburro ngoJulayi, futhi ukusebenza kuqapha.
Ukukhula kokuhlinzekwa kweStyrene kuphansi kunalokho obekulindelwe, futhi ukusungulwa kwechweba kuncishisile esikhundleni sokwanda
Lapho ukuhlinzekwa kanye nokufuna ukulingana ngoJulayi kubikezelwa ngoJuni, kulindeleke ukuthi umkhiqizo wasekhaya ngoJulayi uzoba cishe amathani ayi-1,38 wezigidi, kanye nohluzo lwezenhlalo oluqoqiwe luzoba ngamathani angama-50000. Kodwa-ke, ushintsho olungakahlelwanga luholele ekukhuphukeni okuphansi kunalokho obekulindelwe ukukhiqizwa kwe-styrene, futhi esikhundleni sokwanda kokusungula okukhulu kwetheku, kwehle.
1. Kuthintwe yizici zenhloso, amanani entengo yezinto ezihlanganisiwe ezihlobene noTolune ne-XYLENE akhuphuke ngokushesha, ikakhulukazi uwoyela onama-hydrocarbons ahlanganisiwe ahlangana ne-toluene ne-xylene, okuholela ekukhuphukeni okuqinile amanani. Ngakho-ke, intengo ka-Ethylbenzene iye yanda ngokulandelana. Kwamabhizinisi e-Styrene Production, ukukhiqizwa kokukhiqizwa kwe-Ethylbenzene ngaphandle kwe-dehydrogenation kungcono kunesivuno se-dehydrogenation se-styrene, okuholela ekwehleni kokukhiqizwa kwe-styrene. Kuyaqondakala ukuthi izindleko ze-dehydrogenation zicishe zibe ngu-400-500 yuan / ithoni. Lapho umehluko wentengo phakathi kwe-styrene ne-ethylbenzene mkhulu kune-400-500 yuan / ton, ukukhiqizwa kwe-styrene kungcono, futhi okuphambene nalokho. NgoJulayi, ngenxa yokwehla kokukhiqizwa kwe-ethylbenzene, ukukhiqizwa kweStyrene kwakungamathani angama-80-90000, okuyisinye sezizathu zokusungula kwetheku main akwandiswa.
2. Ukugcinwa kwamayunithi we-styrene kugxile kakhulu kusuka ngoMeyi kuya kuJuni. Uhlelo lwangempela kwakuwukuqala kabusha ngoJulayi, iningi lalo lagxila maphakathi noJulayi. Kodwa-ke, ngenxa yezizathu ezithile zenhloso, amadivaysi amaningi abambezelekile ekuqaleni; Umthwalo wokushayela wedivaysi entsha uphansi kunalokho obekulindelwe, futhi umthwalo uhlala usezingeni eliphansi. Ngaphezu kwalokho, izitshalo ze-styrene ezinjenge-tiannjin dagu kanye ne-hainan refining kanye namakhemikhali futhi zinokuvalwa okungakahlelwanga, okwenza ukulahleka kokukhiqizwa kwasekhaya.
Izisetshenziswa zaphesheya kwezilwandle zivala phansi, ziholele ekukhuphukeni kwesidingo sokuthumela esisele saseChina se-Styrene
Maphakathi nale nyanga, isitshalo saseStyrene e-United States sasihlelelwa ukuyeka ukusebenza, ngenkathi kuhlelwa isitshalo eYurophu. Amanani asongelwa ngokushesha, kuvulwe iwindows le-arbitrage, futhi isidingo sokuphikiswa sanda. Abahwebi babambe iqhaza ezingxoxweni, futhi bekuvele kukhona okwenziwe kwamanye amazwe. Emavikini amabili edlule, ivolumu yokuthengiselana ephelele ibilokhu icishe ibe ngamathani angama-29000, ikakhulukazi afakwe ngo-Agasti, ikakhulukazi eSouth Korea. Yize izimpahla zesiShayina bezingahanjiswa ngqo eYurophu, ngemuva kokusebenzisa izinto, ukuthunyelwa kwezimpahla ngokungaqondile kugcwalise igebe endaweni yokuqondisa yaseYurophu, futhi ukunakwa kwakhokhelwa ukuthi ukuthengiselana kungaqhubeka ngokuzayo. Njengamanje, kuyaqondakala ukuthi ukukhiqizwa kwamadivayisi e-United States kuzokwenqanyulwa noma kuzobuya ngasekupheleni kukaJulayi aI-ND ekuqaleni kuka-Agasti, kuyilapho amathani acishe abe yizigidi ezi-2 zamadivayisi eYurophu azokwenqanyulwa ezigabeni zakamuva. Uma beqhubeka nokungenisa evela eChina, bangakwazi ukuqeda ukukhula ekukhiqizweni kwasekhaya.
Isimo esiphansi asinathemba, kepha asifinyeleli ezingeni elibi lempendulo
Njengamanje, ngaphezu kokugxila ekuthekelweni kwamanye amazwe, imboni yemakethe nayo ikholelwa ukuthi impendulo engemihle evela ekufunweni okuphansi kuyisihluthulelo sokuthola inani eliphakeme le-Styrene. Izici ezintathu ezibalulekile ekunqumeni ukuthi ngabe impendulo engemihle ithinta yini ukuvalwa kwebhizinisi / ukulayishwa yilezi: 1 2. Ingabe akhona ama-oda aphansi; 3. Ingabe ukusungulwa okuphansi okuphezulu. Njengamanje, ezansi kwe-EPS / PS ProFits ilahlekelwe yimali, kepha ukulahleka eminyakeni emibili edlule kusamukelekile, futhi imboni ye-ASS isenenzuzo. Njengamanje, ukusungulwa kwe-PS kusezingeni eliphansi futhi ama-oda asamukelekile; Ukukhula kokusungula kwe-EPS kuhamba kancane, nezinye izinkampani ezinokusungula okuphezulu nama-oda abuthakathaka. Ngamafuphi, yize isimo esiphansi singethemba, asikafinyeleli ezingeni lempendulo engemihle.
Kuyaqondakala ukuthi amanye ama-terminals asalindele okuhle kwabanye abayishumi nanye futhi abayishumi nambili, kanye nohlelo lokuhlela ukukhiqiza lwamafektri ekhaya kulindeleke ukuba kwandiswe. Ngakho-ke, kusekhona amanani aqinile ngaphansi kokugcwaliswa okulindelekile ngasekupheleni kuka-Agasti. Kunezimo ezimbili:
1. Uma u-Styrene ebusuku emaphakathi no-Agasti, kukhona okulindelwe kabusha kwentengo ngamanani ngasekupheleni kwenyanga;
2. Uma uStyrene engakhokhisi ngaphambi komphakathi maphakathi no-Agasti futhi aqhubeke nokuqinisa, ukufukula okubulalayo kungabambezeleka, futhi amanani angenza buthaka ngasekupheleni kwenyanga.
Isikhathi sePosi: Jul-25-2023
