Ngo-2022, amanani amakhemikhali amaningi azoguquguquka, akhombisa amagagasi amabili amanani akhuphukayo ukusuka ngoMashi kuya kuJuni naku-Agasti kuya ku-Okthoba ngokulandelana. Ukukhuphuka nokuwa kwamanani entengo kawoyela kanye nesifutho sokufukula ku-Golden Nine Heak Deak Season kuzoba yi-axis enkulu yokushintshashintsha kwezingozi kumakhemikhali ku-2022.
Ngaphansi kwesizinda sempi yaseRussia Ukraine engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2022, uwoyela wamazwe omhlaba jikelele egijima eliphakeme kakhulu, izinga lentengo eliphelele lamakhemikhali liyaqhubeka ukukhuphuka, futhi imikhiqizo eminingi yamakhemikhali ishaye phezulu phezulu eminyakeni yamuva. Ngokusho kwe-JinLiangchuaing Chemical Index, kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya ku-December 2022, umkhuba we-Chemical Hoction Index uhambelana kahle nomkhuba we-WTI wamafutha omhlaba jikelele, ngokuxhumeka kwe-0.86; Kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya kuJuni 2022, ukuhlanganiswa kokuhlangana phakathi kwalokhu okubili kuphakeme njengo-0.91. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi okunengqondo kokuhlinzwa kwemakethe yamakhemikhali yasekhaya engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka kulawulwa ngokuphelele ukukhuphuka kwamafutha angaphandle kwamazwe omhlaba. Kodwa-ke, njengoba ubhubhane lunqamula izimfuno nezinto ezifuywayo, ukuthengiselana kwakukhungathekiswe ngemuva kwentengo ekhuphuke. NgoJuni, ngentengo ephakeme yamafutha e-crude, intengo eningi yamakhemikhali yawa kakhulu, futhi amamakethe avelele engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka aphela.
Engxenyeni yesibili ka-2022, ukuqonda okuholayo kwemakethe yezimboni yamakhemikhali kuzosuka ezintweni ezingavuthiwe (uwoyela ongahluziwe) kuya kwizisekelo. Kusukela ngo-Agasti kuya ku-Okthoba, ukuncika ekufuneni kwe-Golden Exple Silver Ten Peak Soute, imboni yamakhemikhali inesitayela esiphakeme kakhulu futhi. Kodwa-ke, ukungqubuzana phakathi kwezindleko eziphakeme eziphakeme kanye nokufunwa okubuthakathaka akukaze kwenziwe ngcono kakhulu, futhi intengo yemakethe ilinganiselwe uma iqhathaniswa nengxenye yokuqala yonyaka, bese yehla ngokushesha ngemuva kwe-flash epanini. NgoNovemba uDisemba, kwakungekho mkhuba wokuqondisa ukuguquguquka kokuguquguquka kwamafutha akwa-crude aphesheya, futhi imakethe yamakhemikhali yaphela amandla ngaphansi kokuholwa okufunwa okubuthakathaka.
Ishadi Lama-Trend of Jinlianchuang Chemical Index 2016-2022

Ngo-2022, ama-aromatics nezimakethe ezansi zizoba namandla ku-upstream futhi zibuthakathaka ekwehleni komfula
Mayelana nentengo, iToluene neXylene isondelene nezinto ezingavuthiwe (uwoyela ongahluziwe). Ngakolunye uhlangothi, uwoyela ongahluziwe ukhuphukele kakhulu, ngakolunye uhlangothi, uqhutshwa ukukhula okuthekelisa. Ngo-2022, ukukhuphuka kwentengo kuzoba okuvelele kakhulu ecaleni lezimboni, ngaphezu kwama-30%. Kodwa-ke, i-BPA ne-MIBK ku-Downtream Phenol Ketone Chain izokwehla kancane kancane ngo-2022 ngenxa yokushoda kokuhlinzekwa ngo-2021, kanye nomkhuba wentengo ophelele we-Upstream kanye ne-Downstream Phenol Ketone ukwehla okungaphezulu kwama-30% ngo-2022; Ikakhulu, i-MiBK, enokukhuphuka kwamanani aphezulu kakhulu ngamakhemikhali ngo-2021, cishe alahlekelwe yisabelo sawo ngo-2022. Amaketanga ahlanzekile nawo azoshisa ngo-2022. Njengoba ukunikezwa kwe-aniline kuqhubeka nokuqinisa, isimo esingazelelwe se Iyunithi kanye nokwanda okuqhubekayo kokuthumela ngaphandle, intengo ehlobene ne-aniline ingafanisa leyo nto eluhlaza emsulwa. Emkhankasweni wokwanda okukhulu kokukhiqizwa kwe-towstream Styrene, i-cyclohexanone ne-adipic acid, ikakhulukazi i-caploractam yiyona kuphela ecaleni elihlanzekile lapho intengo yehla khona unyaka nonyaka.

Ngokwenzuzo, iToluene, i-XYLENE ne-PX esondelene nokuphela kokusetshenziswa okubonakalayo kuzoba nokukhuphuka kwezimali okukhulu ku-2022, konke okuzoba ngaphezu kwama-500 yuan / ton. Kodwa-ke, i-BPA ku-Downtream Phenol Ketone Chain izoba ne-2022 yenzuzo yenzuzo, ngaphezu kwama-8000 yuan / ithoni, eqhutshwa ukwanda kokuhlinzekwa kwayo kanye nesidingo esingesihle kanye nokwehla kwe-Upstream Phenol Ketone. Phakathi kwamaketanga ahlanzekile we-benzene kanye ne-downstream, i-aniline izophuma ngezindleko ngo-2022 ngenxa yobunzima bokuthola umkhiqizo owodwa, ngokukhula konyaka omkhulu kunawo wonke inzuzo. Eminye imikhiqizo, kufaka phakathi impahla eluhlaza ehlanzekile ye-benzene emsulwa, wonke anenzuzo ephansi ngo-2022; Phakathi kwazo, ngenxa yokudlula ngokweqile, ukunikezwa kwemakethe kwe-caploractam kwanele, ukuncipha kwemakethe kubuthakathaka, ukulahleka kwemakethe kukhulu, ukulahleka kwebhizinisi kuyaqhubeka ukuqinisa, futhi ukwehla kwenzuzo kukhulu kakhulu, cishe ngo-1500 yuan / toni.

Ngokuya ngamakhono, ngo-2022, imboni enkulu yokucwengelwa kwamakhemikhali ingene ekugcineni kokunwetshwa kwamandla, kepha ukwanda kwe-PX nemikhiqizo enjenge-pure Benzene, i-phenol ne-Swing. Ngo-2022, ngaphandle kokuhoxiswa kwamathani angama-40000 we-aniline kusuka ku-hydrocarbon enamakha amnandi kanye ne-downstream chain, yonke eminye imikhiqizo izokhula. Lesi futhi isizathu esiyinhloko sokuthi intengo yonyaka yama-aromatics nemikhiqizo engezansi ngo-2022 ayikafaneli unyaka nonyaka, yize imikhiqizo yentengo ye-aromatics nemikhiqizo ephansi iqhutshwa yi-surge yamafutha angaphandle konyaka .