I-styreneimakethe engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2022 ikhombise ukukhuphuka okunyukayo, inani elimaphakathi lemakethe ye-styrene e-Jiangsu lalingu-9,710.35 yuan / ton, lenyuke ngo-8.99% YoY yakhuphuka ngo-9.24% YoY. Intengo ephansi engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka ivele ekuqaleni konyaka 8320 yuan / ton, intengo ephakeme kakhulu yavela ekuqaleni kukaJuni 11470 yuan / ton, i-amplitude engu-37.86%. Ngokuyisisekelo, ukuhlinzekwa kwe-styrene engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2022 kubonise ukuthambekela kokukhula kokuqala bese kwehle, isidingo sibonise ukukhuphuka kancane kancane kwethrendi yesakhiwo sonke sokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo sombuso oqhubeka uqina.
Izehlakalo ze-"Black Swan" zenzeka kaningi engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka ziye ezingeni eliphezulu cishe eminyakeni emibili

Isizathu esiyinhloko sokwenyuka kwamanani e-styrene engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka ngokombono omkhulu kuwumphumela wokwehla kwamandla emali emhlabeni wonke, isikhungo samandla adonsela phansi ezimpahla sikhuphuke, okubonakala ku-styrene ukusekelwa kwezindleko okuvela ohlangothini lwe-raw material (uwoyela ongahluziwe), i-benzene emsulwa engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka, izinsiza zabo nazo ziqinile, ziyaqhubeka nokukhuphuka; kusukela ezintweni eziyisisekelo ze-styrene ikakhulukazi nengxenye yokuqala yamayunithi okukhiqiza asekhaya nakwamanye amazwe e-styrene esikhathini sokulungisa esimaphakathi, kuyilapho ukuncipha kokuhlinzekwa okungahleliwe nakho kungaphezulu Ngaphezu kwalokho, umehluko wentengo phakathi kwezimakethe zasekhaya nezangaphandle kwenza ukuthengiswa kwe-styrene kukhuphuke, kodwa futhi ukugcwalisa ingxenye yesidingo esibuthakathaka sasekhaya ngentengo yomthelela omubi.

Ngokombono wezifunda ezihlukene ze-styrene, kukhona amayunithi amasha azosakazwa eSouth China naseShandong ngo-2022, kodwa kanye nokuvalwa okungahleliwe kwamayunithi amakhulu esifundeni, ukwakhiwa kwesifunda kanye nesidingo nakho kuyashintsha ngezigaba. Imakethe yaseNingizimu China kanye ne-Jiangsu isuka kwisaphulelo iye phezulu, kanye nemakethe yaseShandong isuka esaphulelo esisobala iye emakethe ye-Jiangsu kuya ekusakazeni kuye kwancipha kancane kancane.

Ingxenye yokuqala yonyaka yayiyizindleko "zokuthunjwa" izindleko eziphezulu zamanani e-styrene anquma ukuphakama

Inzuzo yesitshalo engahlanganisiwe ye-Styrene engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2022 ku -509 yuan / ton, yehle ngo-226.30% isuka ku-403 yuan / ton ngesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule; ingxenye yokuqala yokulahlekelwa okuyisisekelo, ingxenye yokuqala kuphela yenzuzo kaJuni eyaphenduka yaba yinhle kafushane.

2022 ngemva kwe-Spring Festival amanani kawoyela wamazwe ngamazwe akhuphuka, enyusa i-benzene eqinile, ehlanganiswe nengxenye yokuqala yemakethe ye-benzene eqinile, iqoqo le-benzene elihlanzekile laqhubeka nokwehla, ukusebenza kwentengo kuqinile, i-benzene ehlanzekile kanye ne-styrene isakazeka kancane kancane, ike yancipha yafika ezingeni lamakhulu amahlanu noma ayisithupha, kodwa futhi yenza abakhiqizi be-styrene baqale ukuwa phansi ukunikezwa kwe-styrene akukona ukukhula okulindelekile.

Ukukhula komkhiqizo wasekhaya kuncane kunalokho obekulindelwe isidingo sangaphandle esikhuphuke ngaphezu kwalokho obekulindelwe

Engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2022, i-styrene kulindeleke ukuthi ifakwe ekukhiqizeni phakathi kwezinto ezinkulu ezifakwe ekukhiqizeni, kusukela ngoJulayi, i-styrene yase-China isifakwe ekukhiqizeni amathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.88.

Izitshalo ezintsha ze-styrene ziza ngokusakaza cishe njengoba kuhleliwe, kodwa izinga lokukhula kokukhiqizwa kwasekhaya lincane kunalokho okulindelekile, ikakhulukazi ngoba ngakolunye uhlangothi, ezinye izitshalo seziqale ukuvala isikhathi eside ngokumelene nesizinda sokulahlekelwa kwesikhathi eside ku-styrene; ngakolunye uhlangothi, kukhona ukuvala shaqa okungahleliwe okuningi kwezitshalo ze-styrene engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka. Ukuthengwa kwe-styrene engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka nakho kwehle ngezinga elithile, ngokugunyazwa kancane kancane kokufakwa kwasekhaya, ngokungeniswa kwe-styrene kusuka ngoJanuwari-May 2021 ngamathani angama-730,400 kanye noJanuwari-May 2022 ngamathani angama-522,100, kwehle ngo-28.51% unyaka nonyaka.

Engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2022, ukusebenza kwesidingo sasekhaya se-styrene akusivivi, kusukela kuMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo, imakethe yaqala ukulangazelela ukufuna ukubuyiselwa, kuze kube uJulayi, isidingo sokugcina asibonanga ukwanda okukhulu, ikakhulukazi ngoMashi-Ephreli ngamandla amakhulu, ukubuyiswa kwesidingo kwaphazamiseka, noma ekugcineni indawo ethengiswayo, isidingo semishini yasendlini sibuthakathaka, ukudluliselwa komfula, ukuxhumanisa intengo ekhuphukayo, ukuxhumanisa intengo ekhuphukayo ayitholakali phezulu. I-inventory isakhula Isizathu sokuphazanyiswa kokutholwa kwesidingo ekugcineni isidingo esibuthakathaka sezindlu ezithengiswayo kanye nempahla yasendlini. Ngokusho kokuhlolwa kwedatha kaZhuo Chuang, ingxenye yokuqala ka-2022 ukusetshenziswa kwe-styrene ezansi komfula ngamathani ayizigidi ezingu-6.597, ukukhuphuka okuncane kwe-2% ngesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule, kwehle ngo-3% uma kuqhathaniswa nekota yesine yonyaka odlule. Ingxenye yokuqala yokusebenza kokuthekelisa kwe-styrene iyaqhubeka nokugqama, idatha yokuthekelisa ifinyelele irekhodi eliphezulu, ngo-2021 i-styrene yaseChina ithumela ngaphandle ngamathani angama-234,900, okuwukunyuka kwama-770.00%. 2022 January-May ithumela ngaphandle ngamathani angu-342,200, okuwukunyuka kwama-80.42%. Isizathu sokukhula kokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukulungiswa okuhleliwe nokungahleliwe kokufakwa phesheya kwezilwandle, ukuncishiswa kokuhlinzekwa kwempahla, kunegebe lesidingo; ngakolunye uhlangothi, endaweni yokwehla kwamandla emali, kukhona umehluko ekwenyukeni kwentengo ekhaya nakwamanye amazwe, kukhona indawo ethile ye-arbitrage ekhona.

Ingxenye yesibili yesakhiwo sokuhlinzeka nesidingo noma kusukela kumanani aqinile kuye kwaxega kulindeleke ukuthi ibe phezulu ngaphambi nangemva kokuphansi

Okuyisisekelo, i-styrene engxenyeni yesithathu awekho amadivaysi amasha asetshenziswayo, ikota yesine kukhona amathani angu-800,000 e-Guangdong Jieyang / ngonyaka (Okthoba-Novemba), i-Lianyungang Petrochemical amathani angu-600,000 / ngonyaka (Okthoba), uZibo Junchen (owayekade engu-Qi Wanda) 500,000 amathani angu-500,000 Petrochemical / 000 maphakathi no-Okthoba 6 amathani / ngonyaka (ikota yesine), i-Anqing Petrochemical amathani angama-400,000 / ngonyaka (ukuphela konyaka) ingqikithi yamathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.9 / idivayisi yonyaka ihlelelwe ukuthi iqale ukusebenza. Engxenyeni yesithathu, kusekhona i-Zhejiang Petrochemical amathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.2 / ngonyaka ngo-August ukugcinwa okuhleliwe kwezinsuku ezingaba ngu-40; I-China Shell II ihlela ukufaka esikhundleni se-catalyst ekupheleni kukaJulayi nasekuqaleni kuka-Agasti, ngakho-ke kulindeleke ukuthi ukunikezwa kwe-styrene engxenyeni yesithathu kulindeleke ukuthi kukhuphuke, kodwa kancane kancane. Ezansi nomfula engxenyeni yesithathu kukhona iqoqo lamadivayisi ahlelelwe ukusebenza, uma ukukhiqizwa kuhamba kahle, ngoba isidingo se-styrene siwusekelo, kodwa inzuzo yamanje yemboni yezansi nomfula iwukulahlekelwa, ngoba ukwehla kwedivayisi entsha kulindeleke ukuthi ilethe umthelela weshejuli yokukhiqiza. Sekukonke, ukunikezwa kanye nesakhiwo sesidingo se-styrene kulindeleke ukuthi siguquke sisuka kokuqinile siye kokuxega.

Ngasohlangothini lwezindleko, imakethe yamanani kawoyela wamazwe omhlaba nayo ihluke kakhulu, ukudideka kwemakethe kawoyela, okwengeza ekungaqinisekini kwemakethe ye-styrene engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, uma isikhungo samanani adonsela phansi entengo kawoyela engxenyeni yesithathu yehluleka ukwehla kakhulu, kanti ingxenye yesithathu yokulethwa kwe-benzene ehlanzekile kanye nesidingo kulindeleke ukuthi ihlale iqinile, khona-ke imakethe ye-styrene engxenyeni yesibili yemakethe ingase ingabi ngaphansi kwengxenye yesithathu yemakethe ye-pessimistic. ukukhathazeka kwezomnotho omkhulu kanye nokungabi nathemba mayelana nemboni yezindlu ezithengiswayo. Okwamanje, imakethe isimo sengqondo esifushane. Kwikota yesine, amanani entengo kawoyela wamazwe ngamazwe anengcindezi enkulu yokwehla, futhi idivayisi entsha ye-benzene ehlanzekile kulindeleke ukuthi ibe nokukhiqiza okuzinzile, ukuhlinzekwa okukhushuliwe, ukusekelwa kwezindleko ezibuthakathaka, okuhambisana nekota yesine isidingo semboni ye-styrene sizoba buthakathaka ngokwengeziwe, isikhungo samanani adonsela phansi noma kulindeleke ukuthi siqhubeke nokwehla.

Umthombo: Ulwazi lwe-China Universe
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I-Chemwin is a chemical raw material trading company in China, located in Shanghai Pudong New Area, with a network of ports, terminals, airports and railroad transportation, and with chemical and hazardous chemical warehouses in Shanghai, Guangzhou, Jiangyin, Dalian and Ningbo Zhoushan, China, storing more than 50,000 tons of chemical raw materials all year round, with sufficient supply, welcome to purchase and inquire. chemwin email: service@skychemwin.com whatsapp: 19117288062 Tel: +86 4008620777 +86 19117288062