NgoSeptemba 2023, eqhutshwa ukukhuphuka kwamanani entengo kawoyela aluhlaza kanye nohlangothi lwezindleko eziqinile, intengo yemakethe ye-Phenol yavuka ngamandla. Ngaphandle kokukhuphuka kwentengo, okufunwa phansi kwehla akwenyuke ngokuvumelanisa, okungaba nomthelela othile wokuvimbela emakethe. Kodwa-ke, imakethe ihlala inethemba elikhulu ngamathemba esikhathi esizayo se-phenol, ekholelwa ukuthi ukuguquguquka kwesikhashana kwesikhashana ngeke kuguqule yonke indlela ebheke phezulu.
Lo mbhalo uzohlaziya intuthuko yakamuva kule makethe, kufaka phakathi izitayela zamanani, isimo sokuthenga, ukuhlinzeka kanye nesimo sokufuna, kanye namathemba esikhathi esizayo.
Izintengo ze-1.Phonol zishaye okusha okuphezulu
Kusukela ngoSepthemba 11, 2023, intengo yemakethe ye-phenol ifinyelele ku-9335 yuan ngethani ngalinye, ukukhuphuka kwe-5.35% kuqhathaniswa nosuku lokusebenza kwangaphambilini, futhi intengo yemakethe ifinyelele phezulu okuphezulu konyaka wamanje. Le ndlela ephakeme idonsele ukunakwa okubanzi njengoba amanani emakethe abuyele emazingeni ngenhla kwesilinganiso isikhathi esifanayo ukusuka ngo-2018 kuya ku-2022.

Ukuxhaswa kwe-2.Strong ohlangothini lwezindleko
Ukwenyuswa kwentengo emakethe ye-Phenol kuthiwa yizinto eziningi. Okokuqala, ukukhuphuka okuqhubekayo kwamanani entengo kawoyela we-crude kunikeza ukwesekwa kwentengo ye-benziem emsulwa ye-benzene ye-benzine, njengoba ukukhiqizwa kwe-phenol kuhlobene kakhulu namanani kawoyela angahluziwe. Izindleko eziphakeme zinikeza umphumela oqondile oqondisayo emakethe ye-phenol, futhi ukukhuphuka okunamandla kwezindleko kuyinto ebalulekile yokushayela ngentengo yokwenyuka kwamanani.
Uhlangothi lwezindleko eziqinile luqhubekele phambili intengo yemakethe ye-phenol. Ifektri ye-Phenol esifundeni saseShandong iyokuqala ukumemezela ukwenyuswa kwentengo ka-200 yuan / ton, ngentengo efektri ka-9200 yuan / ton (kufaka phakathi intela). Ukulandela ngokusondelene, abanamathelani e-East China abuye aphakamise intengo ephumayo eya ku-9300-9350 yuan / ton (kufaka phakathi intela). Emini, i-East China Petrochemical Company yaphinde yamemezela ukwanda kwe-400 yuan / toon ngentengo yohlu, ngenkathi intengo yefektri ihlala ku-9200 yuan / ton (kufaka phakathi intela). Ngaphandle kokunyuka kwentengo ekuseni, ukuthengiselana kwangempela ntambama kwakubuthakathaka kakhulu, uhla lwentengo yokuthenga lugxile phakathi kuka-9200 kuya ku-9250 yuan / ton (kufaka phakathi intela).
Izinguquko ezilungiselelwe eceleni
Ngokuyalwa ekulandeleni kokusebenza kwesitshalo samanje se-Phenol Ketone, kulindeleke ukuthi ukukhiqizwa kwe-Phenol yasekhaya ngoSepthemba kuzoba cishe amathani angama-355400, okulindeleke ukuthi anciphe ngenyanga engu-1.69% uma kuqhathaniswa nenyanga edlule. Uma kucatshangelwa ukuthi usuku lwemvelo ngo-Agasti luzoba usuku olulodwa ukwedlula uSepthemba, Sekukonke, ushintsho ekunikezelweni kwasekhaya lulinganiselwe. Ukugxila okuyinhloko kwabasebenza kuzoba sezinguquko ekusungulweni kwetheku.

I-4.Demand Side inzuzo inzuzo
Ngesonto eledlule, kwakukhona abathengi abakhulu be-Bisphenol a kanye ne-phenolic resin baphinda baphinde baphinde bathenge futhi bathenge emakethe, kwathi ngoLwesihlanu olwedlule, kwaba nomthamo omusha wokukhiqiza we-phenolic wetone ethenga izinto zokuthenga emakethe. Amanani we-Phenol akhuphuka, kepha phansi ayelilandela ngokuphelele ukwanda. I-busphenol yamathani angama-240000 Isitshalo esifundeni saseZhejiang sihlelwe kabusha ngempelasonto, kanye nokulungiswa kuka-Agasti kwe-150000 iBisphenol Isitshalo e-Nantong siphinde saqala umthwalo ojwayelekile wokukhiqiza. Intengo yemakethe yeBisphenol Izidumbu ezingeni elicaphuni le-11750-11800 yuan / ton. Lapho kukhuphuka ngokuqinile ngamanani we-phenol ne-acetone, inzuzo yeBisphenol imboni iginywe ukukhuphuka kwe-phenol.
I-5.profitability ye-Phenol Ketone Factory
Inzuzo yefektri ye-Phenol Ketone yathuthuka kuleli sonto. Ngenxa yamanani ezinzile ze-benzene emsulwa ne-propelene, izindleko zihlala zingashintshiwe, futhi intengo yokuthengisa inyukile. Inzuzo ngethani ngalinye le-Phenolic Katone Product liphakeme ngo-738 yuan.

6.Future Outlook
Ngekusasa, imakethe ihlala inethemba nge-phenol. Yize kungahle kube nokuhlanganiswa kanye nokulungiswa esikhathini esifushane, inkambiso yonke isaphezulu. Ukugxila kokunakwa kwemakethe kufaka phakathi umthelela wemidlalo ye-Hangzhou Asia lapho ezokuhamba ze-phenol emakethe, kanye nalapho igagasi lokugcina lifika ngaphambi kweholide le-11. Kulindelwe ukuthi intengo yokuthumela ye-Phenol echwebeni e-East China izoba phakathi kuka-9200-9650 yuan / ithoni kuleli sonto.