Imakethe yomkhiqizo kaJulayi phenol ketone industry ibuthakathaka iyonke. Impahla esetshenziswayo ekhuphukayo isezingeni eliphansi le-benzene elimsulwa, i-port pure benzene inventory ukugcina izinga eliphansi, kodwa uwoyela ongahluziwe kanye nenani elihlanzekile le-benzene exchange phezulu naphansi, umuzwa wengcindezi yentengo ephansi nomfula awunqamuki, amaphuzu angu-4.41 okwehla ukuze ahole, izindleko ze-phenol nokusekelwa kwe-acetone ziba buthaka. Imakethe ye-phenol ishintshashintsha kakhulu, njengoba amanani entengo ekhuphuka ngokushesha ngemva kokwehla, umthelela wezinto eziyisisekelo zokuhlinzeka kanye nesidingo waba namandla, futhi isimo sesidingo esibuthakathaka esingaphansi komfula kunzima ukusithuthukisa. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ukusebenza komfula kubuthakathaka, ukwehla kuyahlukahluka. Ukunikezwa kwe-Bisphenol A kanye nesidingo kuhlale kusesimweni segeyimu, ukusekelwa kwemakethe yempahla eluhlaza kubuthakathaka, lapho kungabikho ukwesekwa okuhle, amanani e-bisphenol A ayi-oscillation ebuthakathaka, intengo emaphakathi yanyanga zonke yehle ngo-18.45%, ibalwa kuqala ochungechungeni lwemboni ye-phenol ketone. nqaba.

I-July phenone industry analysis up and down analysis

Ukwengeza, kusukela ku-July phenol ketone industry chain izibalo zanyanga zonke zenani lentengo, ukwehla komkhiqizo ngamunye kugxilwe ku-5% -15%; Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukwehla okuphawuleka kakhulu lapho i-bisphenol A, intengo emaphakathi yanyanga zonke engu-18.45% iphansi kuneringi.

I-Phenolic ketone industry chain ukuhlaziywa kwemakethe yemikhiqizo eyinhloko

I-benzene ehlanzekile

NgoJulayi, imakethe ye-benzene ehlanzekile yasekhaya iyonke iyancipha, ingxenye yokuqala yokushaqeka kukawoyela ongahluziwe, ukwehla okubanzi kwe-benzene exchange angaphandle, ukuntuleka kwemakethe yangaphandle kwemakethe, i-port pure benzene inventory ihlala iphansi. , kodwa umuzwa wengcindezi ezansi nomfula, East China pure benzene market yehle kakhulu; engxenyeni yesibili kawoyela ongahluziwe kanye nokushintshisana kwangaphandle kwe-benzene okuhlanzekile kuqinise phezulu, isimo sengqondo semakethe siba ngcono, ichweba le-benzene elihlanzekile liyaqhubeka nokwehla, izingxoxo zemakethe ye-benzene yase-East China zikhuphuka kakhulu, imakethe Izingxoxo zakhuphukela ku-9600-9650 yuan/ ton, kodwa njengoba kusondela ukuphela kwenyanga, izingxoxo zemakethe yase-East China zabuyela ngokushesha ku-8850-8900 yuan/ton. Kodwa-ke, ukuguquguquka eNyakatho neChina kulinganiselwe, futhi umfula ongezansi udinga nje ukuthengwa, umehluko wokuhlukaniswa kwemakethe ukhona. Kusukela ngomhlaka-29 Julayi, ireferensi yezingxoxo zemakethe ye-benzene ehlanzekile ye-East China 8850-8900 yuan / ton, ukunikezwa okujwayelekile kwemakethe yaseNyakatho yeShayina ngo-8900-8950 yuan / ton, inhloso yokuthenga ephansi komfula enkulu ngo-8800-8850 yuan / ton ukulethwa.

Imakethe ye-benzene ehlanzekile kulindeleke ukuthi iqale ngo-Agasti, isikhala sokuguquguquka silinganiselwe. Umugqa wezindleko zokungeniswa kwe-benzene ubheke phansi, ukuntuleka kosekelo lwemakethe ye-benzene emsulwa, kuyilapho ukulahleka kochungechunge lwemboni engezansi komfula kusaqhubeka, kanye nohlelo lokulungiswa kwemishini ephansi komfula lugxile kakhulu, ukuncipha kwesidingo semakethe. Ngokuqondene ne-benzene ehlanzekile, i-port ye-benzene ehlanzekile ihlala iphansi, kodwa uhlelo olusha lokulungisa lwe-benzene oluhlanzekile lulinganiselwe, futhi i-Shanghai Petrochemical, i-Qilu Petrochemical nezinye izinto zizoqala kabusha ngokulandelana, ukuhlinzekwa kwemakethe ye-benzene ehlanzekile sekutholakele, izinto eziyisisekelo ezimfishane zizonke, kodwa isimo samazwe ngamazwe siyashintsha, uwoyela ongahluziwe ukhuphuka naphansi ngendlela engahlelekile, uguquko olubanzi, ukuze imakethe ye-benzene emsulwa yandise umdlalo omude nomfishane.

Ipropylene

NgoJulayi, umdlalo wokuhlinzeka kanye nesidingo wanda, futhi amanani e-propylene ashaqeka kakhulu. Phakathi nenyanga, isikhungo samandla adonsela phansi amanani e-propylene sawa kancane kancane, ukushiyeka okuyinhloko kungokulandelayo.

Okokuqala, uwoyela ongahluziwe wamazwe ngamazwe wagcina ukuguquguquka okuhlukahlukene, kodwa isikhungo samanani adonsela phansi saqhubeka nokwehla, ukwehla njalo, ukudangala kwemakethe.

Okwesibili ubuthakathaka bemakethe yesikhathi esizayo ye-polypropylene, isidingo esibuthakathaka se-polypropylene, ukusabalala kwe-powder / propylene kuncane, ukuqala komsebenzi jikelele kuhlala kuphansi, thenga ukukhanya kwe-Hing.

Okwesithathu, ukuthambekela okuyinhloko kwamakhemikhali aphansi komfula kubuthakathaka phakathi nenyanga, inzuzo iyancipha kakhulu, futhi ngisho nokulahlekelwa, ezinye zezitshalo eziyinhloko ziye zavala futhi zingalungile, zehlisa isidingo se-propylene.

Okwesine, ukunikezwa kwe-propylene kuningi, ikakhulukazi engxenyeni yokuqala yenyanga, ukugcinwa kwemakethe ye-propylene kunqunyelwe, nokwanda kwemithombo engenisiwe, ingcindezi yokuncintisana jikelele.

Maphakathi nasekupheleni kwenyanga, imakethe ye-propylene yaphindeka kancane, futhi izici eziyinhloko ezisekela amanani entengo ye-propylene zaziwuhlangothi oluhle lokuhlinzeka nokusekelwa kwengqondo yabakhiqizi. Maphakathi nenyanga, ukuvalwa kwesikhashana kwe-Hebei Haiwei, i-Dongying indawo yokuhluza eyodwa kanye nesitobhi esifushane sedivayisi ye-hydrocarbon, okuthuthukisa ukucabanga kwemakethe; ukuphela kwenyanga wukushintshwa kabusha kwe-Qilu Petrochemical, eNyakatho ye-China, e-East China ukwesekwa kokuvalwa kwe-PDH ngakunye. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ingqondo yezimboni, ngoba ukucindezela kwezindleko zamanje ze-propylene akunciphisi, ngakho-ke abakhiqizi baqinile ukusekela intengo, njengoba i-propylene kancane kancane ibuyela emuva ngemva kokuba abakhiqizi bengenamandla aqinile ukuqhubeka nokuwa, futhi babambe imakethe. ukulinda futhi ubone, umfula ongezansi yisigaba sokugcwaliswa okuphansi. Ngasekupheleni kuka-29, umsebenzi ojwayelekile e-Shandong wawungu-7300-7320 yuan/ton, wehle ngo-365 yuan/ton kusukela ngasekupheleni kwenyanga edlule, futhi uhla lokuguquguquka kwentengo e-Shandong lwalungu-7150-7650 yuan/ton, ne-amplitude engu-6.99% .

Iminotho emikhulu eYurophu nase-United States iyaqhubeka nokukhuphula izinga lenzalo, kodwa ayikho inqubekelaphambili ebalulekile ekunqandeni ukwehla kwamandla emali okwamanje, izimpawu zokucindezeleka komnotho ziyakhula, isimo somnotho womhlaba wonke siyaguqubala, umnotho uzokwandisa kancane kancane ingcindezi engemihle. uwoyela ongahluziwe, amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe abuyele emuva ukuze acindezele isimo sengqondo semakethe, kodwa i-propylene evumelanisiwe ukuwa, ukucindezela kwezindleko akuncishisiwe. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, sikhathazekile ngokukhululwa kwamandla amasha okukhiqiza, i-Haiyi ne-Tianhong kulindeleke ukuthi ifakwe ekukhiqizeni, futhi ukunikezwa kuzoqhubeka nokukhula. Ngasohlangothini lwesidingo, ukusebenza kwenzuzo ephansi komfula akukuhle, ngakho-ke izinga lokuqalisa jikelele liyisilinganiso, futhi imakethe iyaqaphela ukuthenga, intengo ephezulu yokumelana ne-propylene iqinile, iningi lemakethe njengoba linjalo, namanje kudingeka ukunakisisa ukuthambekela kwekusasa le-polypropylene kanye nezinguquko zenzuzo yamakhemikhali ezansi nomfula. Kulindeleke ukuthi imakethe ye-propylene ngo-Agasti ibe ngaphansi kwengcindezi evela ekuhlinzekeni nasekufuneni, futhi umkhuba jikelele uzocindezeleka ngaphambi kokukhuphuka, futhi isikhungo samanani adonsela phansi sizokwehla kancane ngoJulayi, kodwa ngokusekelwa ohlangothini lwezindleko, i Ukwehla kungase kube nomkhawulo.

I-Phenol

Ukuguquguquka kwemakethe yasekhaya ye-phenol kaJulayi, amanani ehla ngemva kokuphindaphinda okusheshayo, umehluko wentengo ephezulu nephansi wamayuan angu-1,725/ton. Ekuqaleni kwenyanga, ingcindezi yemakethe ekuhlinzekweni nasekufuneni okuyisisekelo yanda, igesi yokuthenga ezansi nomfula ibuthakathaka, ukuntuleka kwenhloso yophenyo yokusekela amanani ezingxoxo zemakethe kancane kancane kwaba buthaka. Ngasikhathi sinye, ukwehla kokushaqeka kwentengo ye-benzene ekhuphuka nomfula, kuphinde kwenza imakethe ye-bearish ikhule, ukuthenga kuqaphe kakhulu, futhi ukuthunyelwa kwefekthri engezansi akukuhle, inhloso yokuthengwa kwempahla eluhlaza ibuthakathaka nakakhulu. Thenga ukushoda kwegesi yesikhathi eside, okwenza ingcindezi ye-supply-side iqhubeke nokukhula, amanani okuthumela abathengisi awela ngokushesha kuze kube maphakathi nenyanga, intengo yemakethe yokwethuka iyancipha, amanani entengo yase-East China kanye awela ku-8300 yuan / ton. Kodwa-ke, ngokuncipha okukhulu kwamanani, abakhiqizi be-phenol ketone balahlekelwa kakhulu, enye idivayisi ilayisha phansi noma ivaliwe, okuqhutshwa yilokhu, umqondo wemboni uqine kancane, abanye abahwebi namafekthri awela phansi ekuthengeni okuphansi, okudala ukukhuphuka ngokushesha kwamanani entengo. . Izintengo zemakethe yaseMpumalanga ye-China zibuyele ku-RMB 9,350-9,400/mt. Nakuba intengo iphinde yakhuphuka ngokushesha, kodwa isimo sesidingo esintekenteke somfula asizange sibe ngcono, futhi intengo yokuxoxisana yemakethe yayisabuswa i-oscillation ebuthakathaka enyangeni elandelayo. Kusukela ngomhla ka-28 Julayi, intengo okuxoxiswene ngayo yemakethe ye-phenol e-East China yayingu-RMB 9,050-9,100/ton, yehle ngo-RMB 1,150/ton kusukela ngomhlaka-30 Juni.

Ibanga lentengo yemakethe ye-phenol yasekhaya kulindeleke ukuthi lilungiswe ngo-Agasti, ngemva kokuphindaphinda kusukela ekugxumeni, nakuba isidingo esingaphansi komfula sisebuthakathaka, kodwa izinga lokuqala le-phenol ketone nalo liye lehla, ukunikezwa nokuphikisana kwesidingo kuncishisiwe. Futhi izinto zokusetshenziswa kanye nokwesekwa kwezindleko ze-benzene kanye ne-propylene kukhona, ngenxa yokulahlekelwa okukhulu ekukhiqizeni, amanani e-phenol aqhubeka nokwehla kancane, kodwa uhlangothi lokufunwa luhlale lucindezela amanani, amanani kulindeleke ukuthi ahlale elungiswa e-range-boundary ngo-August.

I-acetone

Imakethe ye-acetone yazinza ngemva kokucwiliswa ngoJulayi, futhi ekupheleni kwenyanga, amanani emakethe yaseMpumalanga China ayephansi kunokuphela kwenyanga edlule ngenani eliphelele lama-yuan angu-450 / ton kuya ku-4,850 yuan/ton. Ekuqaleni kwenyanga, ukwehla kukawoyela ongahluziwe emhlabeni wonke, ukwehla kwezimpahla ezithengiswayo, i-benzene ehlanzekile yaqhubeka nokuwa, ukuwohloka kokusekelwa kwezindleko, ukuthembela kwabanikazi bamasheya kuyaxega, ukuthenga ngokuqapha, ukulinda amanani aphansi. Ukuthengwa kwempahla, ngaphezu kwemikhiqizo engaphansi komfula nakho kwathamba, abathengisi kwadingeka benze izivumelwano ngokuthunyelwa, ingxenye yokuqala ye-inventory ye-acetone port yanda, ukwehla jikelele imboni ye-phenol ne-ketone, amanani ebhizinisi ehla, kuyilapho isidingo esingezansi somfula singazange sithuthuke, inhloso yokuthenga iphansi, abathengisi kwadingeka benze isivumelwano Engxenyeni yesibili ye-inventory ye-port yehlile, ukuzimisela kosomabhizinisi ukwehla akuqinile, ne-Zhejiang I-Petrochemical amathani angama-650,000 / ngonyaka isitshalo se-phenol ketone ima ngokungalindelekile, osomabhizinisi kulindeleke ukuthi banciphise ukunikezwa, inhloso yentengo, ngenxa yezindleko eziphakeme. yebhizinisi, nezintengo zemakethe ohlangothini oluphansi, imakethe yaphindeka kancane kancane, nakuba isidingo esingaphansi komfula singesiningi, kodwa ukulandelela okwenziwayo, imakethe isiqalile, ukuthengiselana ngokuvamile kuyisidingo nje.

Imakethe ye-acetone kulindeleke ukuthi inyakaze ngo-Agasti, ikhuphuke kalula iwe kanzima, i-Zhejiang Petrochemical isethi ye-phenol ketone yokupaka, indawo yokupaka i-Huizhou Zhongxin phenol ketone, i-Yangzhou Shanyou phenol ketone plant ihlela ukulungisa kabusha kusenesikhathi, i-Bluestar Harbin phenol ketone plant ihlela ukuqala ngo ukulungiswa kwesi-5, okuthinteke ekulahlekelweni kokukhiqiza, izinkampani eziningi zinezinhlelo zokulungisa kabusha, ukunikezwa kwasekhaya kuzoncishiswa kakhulu, kukhuphule imakethe umuzwa, kodwa isidingo esingezansi komfula ukuze kuthuthukiswe ubunzima, isimo esifushane neside simile, siphelele Ukuze ubone, imakethe ye-acetone kulindeleke ukuthi iqhubeke nokuzinza ngo-August, ungalahli ukuthi kungenzeka ukuphindaphinda okuncane.

I-Bisphenol A

NgoJulayi, imakethe yasekhaya ye-bisphenol A yehla kuqala yabe isikhuphuka. Ekuqaleni kwenyanga, impahla eluhlaza i-phenol ketone yaphinde yathamba, imakethe ye-epoxy resin kanye ne-PC yaqhubeka yehla, isidingo sezinto zokusetshenziswa besilokhu sintenga, imakethe ye-bisphenol A ibingenakho ukwesekwa okuhle, njengoba intengo ekhona I-bisphenol A ibingaphansi kwezindleko, ngakho-ke amafekthri amaningi ukunciphisa ukusebenza okungalungile noma ukupaka, ikakhulukazi ukusebenzisa i-inventory, ukuvulwa okuphelele ukuze kugcinwe eduze kuka-70%, amanani emakethe. wawa kancane. Maphakathi nenyanga, imakethe yakhuphuka kancane, i-Zhejiang Petrochemical ibhida kabili, imakethe yanda kancane, kodwa ukuguqulwa kwentengo akukukhulu, i-downstream epoxy resin kanye nemakethe ye-PC isasebenza kancane, umthamo wemakethe kunzima ukuwenza. ukusekela ukwakhiwa kokusekela okuhle kwemakethe ye-bisphenol A. Futhi izinto zokusetshenziswa kwe-phenol ne-acetone kwehla kakhulu. Ngakho-ke, imakethe okwamanje ayinakho ukwesekwa okuhle, ithembele ekugcwaliseni nje komfula futhi ayikwazi ukuletha umfutho ophakeme emakethe. Ukulinda nokubona kwemakethe yesikhashana noma ukusebenza oscillating. Ekupheleni kwenyanga, izinga lempahla eluhlaza liwukusekelwa okuhle kokulungiswa kwefekthri okwengeziwe, liqhubekisela phambili impahla eluhlaza, kodwa uchungechunge lwezimboni lwe-epichlorohydrin ne-epoxy resin alithintwa yikho, ukuqhubeka kokulungiswa okwehlayo, ngaleyo ndlela kukhawulelwe indawo engaphezulu ye-bisphenol A. Esikhathini esifushane, ukuhlanganiswa kwe-bisphenol A noma ukusebenza okubuthakathaka. Kusukela ngomhla ka-29 Julayi, i-East China ye-bisphenol A yereferensi yezingxoxo zemakethe ngo-11,900-12,000 yuan / ton, uma kuqhathaniswa nokuphela kwenyanga edlule 13,000-13,100 yuan / ton yenani okuxoxiswene ngalo lilonke lehle ngo-1,100 yuan / ton.

Imakethe yasekhaya ye-BPA kulindeleke ukuthi iqhubeke nokuzamazama ngo-Agasti. I-phenol kanye nokwesekwa kwe-acetone okukabili kusatholakala, okuhambisana nokuncishiswa kancane kancane kwalolu bhubhane, isidingo esingaphansi komfula kulindeleke ukuthi silulame, okunikeza ukusekelwa kwe-bisphenol A, kodwa ukunikezwa kwemakethe kwamanje kuningi uma kuqhathaniswa, kunenani elithile. wokumelana nokuthunyelwa kwabanikazi bamasheya, imakethe kungenzeka iguquguquke kabanzi, ukunakwa okwengeziwe ekuhlinzekeni nasekudingeni izinguquko.

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