1,Isimo semakethe: Inzuzo yehla eduze kolayini wezindleko kanye nesikhungo sokuhweba siyashintshashintsha

Muva nje, i-ai-crylonitrileimakethe ihlangabezane nokwehla okusheshayo ezigabeni zokuqala, futhi inzuzo yemboni yehle eduze komugqa wezindleko. Ekuqaleni kukaJuni, nakuba ukwehla kwemakethe yendawo ye-acrylonitrile kwehle, ukugxila kwezohwebo kusakhombisa ukwehla. Ngokulungiswa kwezinto zokusebenza ezingamathani angu-260000/ngonyaka e-Coral, imakethe yamabala iye yayeka kancane kancane ukuwa futhi yazinza. Ukuthengwa kwempahla ephansi ngokuyinhloko kusekelwe esimisweni esiqinile, futhi ukugxilwa kukonke kwemakethe kuhlale kumile futhi kuzinzile ekupheleni kwenyanga. Amabhizinisi ngokuvamile athatha isimo sengqondo sokulinda nokubona futhi awathembi imakethe yesikhathi esizayo, kanti ezinye izimakethe zisanikeza amanani aphansi.

2,Ukuhlaziywa kohlangothi lokuhlinzeka: ukwanda okukabili kokuphumayo kanye nokusetshenziswa kwamandla

Ukwanda okuphawulekayo kokukhiqizwa: NgoJuni, ukukhiqizwa kwamayunithi e-acrylonitrile eShayina kwaba amathani angu-316200, ukwanda kwamathani angu-9600 kusukela enyangeni edlule kanye nenyanga ekhuphuka ngo-3.13%. Lokhu kukhula kubangelwa ikakhulukazi ukululama kanye nokuqaliswa kabusha kwemishini eminingi yasekhaya.

Ukuthuthukiswa kwezinga lokusebenzisa amandla: Izinga lokusebenza kwe-acrylonitrile ngoJuni lalingu-79.79%, ukukhuphuka kwenyanga ngenyanga ngo-4.91%, kanye nokwenyuka konyaka ngo-11.08%. Ukwanda kokusetshenziswa kwamandla kukhombisa ukuthi amabhizinisi okukhiqiza alwela ukukhulisa umkhiqizo ukuze ahlangabezane nesidingo semakethe.

Okulindelwe ukunikezwa kwesikhathi esizayo: Imishini yokulungisa ye-Shandong Korur enamandla amathani angu-260000/ngonyaka ihlelelwe ukuqalisa kabusha ekuqaleni kukaJulayi, futhi azikho izinhlelo zokushintsha imishini esele okwamanje. Sekukonke, ukulindela kokuhlinzekwa kukaJulayi kuhlala kungashintshile, futhi izimboni ze-acrylonitrile zibhekene nengcindezi yokuthunyelwa kwempahla. Kodwa-ke, ezinye izinkampani zingasebenzisa izindlela zokunciphisa umkhiqizo ukuze zibhekane nokuhlinzekwa kwemakethe kanye nokungqubuzana kwezidingo.

3,Ukuhlaziywa kwesidingo esiphansi: Izinzile nezinguquko, umthelela omkhulu wesidingo esingekho sesizini

Imboni ye-ABS: NgoJulayi, bekunezinhlelo zokunciphisa ukukhiqizwa kwamanye amadivaysi e-ABS e-China, kodwa kusekulindelwe ukukhiqizwa kwamadivayisi amasha. Njengamanje, i-inventory ye-ABS iphezulu, isidingo esingezansi komfula sisesikhathini esingekho, futhi ukusetshenziswa kwezimpahla kuhamba kancane.

Imboni ye-Acrylic fiber: Izinga lokusetshenziswa kwamandla okukhiqiza i-acrylic fiber lenyuke ngo-33.48% ngenyanga ngenyanga laya ku-80.52%, nokunyuka okuphawulekayo unyaka nonyaka. Kodwa-ke, ngenxa yengcindezi eqhubekayo yokuthunyelwa kwempahla evela ezimbonini ezinkulu, kulindeleke ukuthi izinga lokusebenza lihambe lifinyelele ku-80%, futhi uhlangothi oludingekayo luzozinza ngokuqhathaniswa.

Imboni ye-Acrylamide: Izinga lokusetshenziswa kwamandla okukhiqiza i-acrylamide lenyuke ngo-7.18% inyanga nenyanga laya ku-58.70%, nokunyuka konyaka nonyaka. Kodwa ukudluliswa kwesidingo kuhamba kancane, i-inventory yebhizinisi iqoqa, futhi izinga lokusebenza lilungiswa ku-50-60%.

4,Isimo sokungenisa nokuthumela ngaphandle: Ukukhula komkhiqizo kuholela ekwehleni kwempahla ethengwayo, kanti ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule

Ukuncipha kwevolumu yokungenisa kwamanye amazwe: Ekuqaleni, ukukhiqizwa kwasekhaya kwehle kakhulu, okuholele ekuqineni kokuhlinzekwa kwempahla yendawo kanye nokukhuthaza ukukhula kokungenisa kwamanye amazwe ngezigaba. Kodwa-ke, kusukela ngoJuni, ngokuqalwa kabusha kwamasethi amaningi emishini ezimbonini zasekhaya, kulindeleke ukuthi ivolumu yokungenisa izokwehla, elinganiselwa ku-6000 amathani.

Ukwenyuka kwevolumu yokuthekelisa: NgoMeyi, umthamo wokuthekelisa we-acrylonitrile wase-China wawungamathani angu-12900, ukwehla uma kuqhathaniswa nenyanga edlule. Kodwa-ke, ngokwanda komkhiqizo wasekhaya, kulindeleke ukuthi umthamo wokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe ukhule ngoNhlangulana nangale kwalokho, ngamathani alinganiselwa ku-18000.

5,Umbono wesikhathi esizayo: Ukukhuphuka kabili kokunikezwayo nesidingo, amanani angase ahlale ebuthakathaka futhi ezinzile

Ubudlelwano bokuhlinzeka nokufunwa: Kusukela ngo-2023 kuya ku-2024, amandla okukhiqiza i-propylene ahlala esezingeni eliphezulu, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi umthamo wokukhiqiza we-acrylonitrile uzoqhubeka nokukhula. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, umthamo omusha wokukhiqiza wezimboni ezingezansi ezifana ne-ABS uzokhishwa kancane kancane, futhi isidingo se-acrylonitrile sizokhula. Kodwa-ke, sekukonke, izinga lokukhula lokuhlinzeka lingase libe ngokushesha kunezinga lokukhula kwesidingo, okwenza kube nzima ukushintsha ngokushesha isimo sokugcwala ngokweqile emakethe.

Isitayela senani: Ngokuthambekela kokukhuphuka okukabili kokunikezwayo nesidingo, intengo ye-acrylonitrile kulindeleke ukuthi igcine ukusebenza okubuthakathaka nokuzinzile. Nakuba ukwenyuka komthamo wokukhiqiza ongaphansi komfula kungase kunikeze usekelo oluthile lwesidingo, uma kucatshangelwa ukwehla kokulindelwe komnotho womhlaba kanye nokumelana okubhekene nokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe, isikhungo samanani singase sehle kancane uma siqhathaniswa no-2023.

Umthelela wenqubomgomo: Kusukela ngo-2024, ukwenyuka kwezintela zokungenisa ku-acrylonitrile e-China kuzozuzisa ngokuqondile ukugayeka kwezinsiza zasekhaya ze-acrylonitrile, kodwa futhi kudinga abahlinzeki basekhaya ukuthi baqhubeke nokufuna amathuba okuthekelisa ukuze balinganisele ukutholakala kwemakethe kanye nesidingo.

Kafushane, imakethe ye-acrylonitrile okwamanje isesimweni sokusebenza esibuthakathaka futhi esizinzile ngemva kokubhekana nokwehla okusheshayo esigabeni sokuqala. Ngokuzayo, ngokukhula okuqhubekayo kokuhlinzekwa kanye nokukhululwa kancane kancane kwesidingo esingaphansi komfula, imakethe izobhekana nezingcindezi ezithile zokuhlinzekwa nokufunwa.