Kusukela ngo-2015-2021, imakethe yaseChina ye-bisphenol A, enokukhiqizwa okukhulayo kanye nentuthuko ezinzile. 2021 Ukukhiqizwa kwe-bisphenol A yaseShayina kulindeleke ukuthi kufinyelele amathani angaba yizigidi ezingu-1.7, futhi izinga eliphelele lokuvulwa kwamadivayisi amakhulu e-bisphenol A licishe libe ngu-77%, elisezingeni eliphezulu. Kulindeleke ukuthi kusukela ngo-2022, lapho kusetshenziswa imishini ye-bisphenol A engasakhiwanga ngokulandelana, ukukhiqizwa konyaka kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule kancane kancane. 2016-2020 Imakethe ye-bisphenol A yaseChina ikhula kancane kancane, ukuncika kwamanye amazwe kwemakethe ye-bisphenol A kusondele ku-30%. Kulindeleke ukuthi ngokwenyuka okukhulu kwamandla okukhiqiza asekhaya esikhathini esizayo, ukuncika kwamanye amazwe kwe-bisphenol A kulindeleke ukuthi kuqhubeke nokwehla.

I-Bisphenol Isakhiwo semakethe esifunwa phansi komfula sigxilile, sisetshenziselwa i-PC kanye ne-epoxy resin, cishe ingxenye yengxenye ngayinye. I-2021 kulindeleke ukuthi isebenzise i-bisphenol A ngokusobala amathani angaba yizigidi ezingu-2.19, okukhuphuke ngo-2% uma kuqhathaniswa no-2020. Ngokuzayo, njengoba i-PC ephansi kanye nemishini emisha ye-epoxy resin iqala ukusebenza, isidingo semakethe ye-bisphenol A kulindeleke ukuthi ukwanda kakhulu.

Umthamo wokukhiqiza omusha we-PC mkhulu, udonsa ukukhula kwesidingo semakethe ye-bisphenol A. I-China ingenisa i-polycarbonate kwamanye amazwe, ukushintshwa kwamanye amazwe kudinga ngokushesha. Ngokwezibalo ze-BCF, ngo-2020, ukukhiqizwa kwe-PC yaseChina kumathani angama-819,000, kwehle ngo-19.6% unyaka nonyaka, ukungenisa ngaphandle kwamathani ayizigidi eziyi-1.63, kwakhuphuka ngo-1.9%, ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe okungamathani angama-251,000, ukusetshenziswa okusobala kwamathani ayizigidi ezingama-2.198, kwehle ngo-7.0% unyaka nonyaka, izinga lokuzanelisa kuphela 37.3%, isidingo esiphuthumayo saseChina sokungeniswa kwe-PC.

Kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya ku-Okthoba 2021, ukukhiqizwa kwe-PC yaseChina kumathani angama-702,600, kwehle ngo-0.38% unyaka nonyaka, ukungeniswa kwe-PC yasekhaya ngamathani ayizigidi eziyi-1.088, kwehle ngo-10.0% unyaka nonyaka, ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwamathani angama-254,000, okuwukunyuka kwama-41.1% ngonyaka. -ngonyaka, amandla amasha okukhiqiza e-PC yaseChina afakwe ekukhiqizeni, kulindeleke ukuthi kuncike ekuthengeni kwamanye amazwe ukuqhubeka nokuvuka.

Imboni yamandla omoya, izinto zikagesi kanye nezinye izimboni ziqhuba i-epoxy resin ukuthi iqhubeke nokukhula. Izindawo eziyinhloko ezisetshenziswayo ze-epoxy resin yasekhaya ukunamathela, izinto eziyinhlanganisela, izinto zikagesi nezikagesi nezimboni zokunamathela, futhi isilinganiso sokusetshenziswa kwengxenye ngayinye eminyakeni yamuva sihlala sizinzile, sibalwa ku-35%, 30%, 26% no-9% ngokulandelana. .

Kulindeleke ukuthi eminyakeni emi-5 ezayo, phakathi kwezicelo eziningi ezansi nomfula we-epoxy resin, i-epoxy resin yezinto ezihlanganisiwe kanye nokwakhiwa kwezimali ezinkulu, kuzoba indawo eyinhloko yokusekela izinga lokukhula lokukhishwa kwe-epoxy resin. Isidingo esikhulayo samandla omoya, ukwakhiwa nokugcinwa kahle kwezitimela ezihamba ngesivinini esiphezulu, imigwaqo emikhulu, imizila engaphansi komhlaba kanye nezikhumulo zezindiza ekwakhiweni kokwakhiwa kwamadolobha kuzoqhuba ukuthuthukiswa kwe-epoxy resin. Ikakhulukazi ngokukhuthazwa kwe- "One Belt, One Road", isidingo se-epoxy resin sizokwandiswa kakhulu.

Imboni ye-PCB iwukusetshenziswa okuyinhloko komfula we-epoxy resin emkhakheni kagesi kanye ne-elekthronikhi, izinto eziyinhloko ze-PCB ibhodi eligqoke ithusi, i-epoxy resin ibiza cishe u-15% wezindleko zebhodi eligqoke ithusi. Ngokuthuthuka okusheshayo kobuchwepheshe bolwazi besizukulwane esisha njengedatha enkulu, i-inthanethi Yezinto, ubuhlakani bokwenziwa, i-5G, njll., njengezinto eziyisisekelo zemboni ye-elekthronikhi, isidingo kanye nezinga lokukhula kwebhodi eligqoke ithusi kulindeleke ukuthi likhule ngonyaka unyaka.

Imakethe ye-Bisphenol A isemjikelezweni ophezulu we-boom, sicabanga ukuthi isidingo esingezansi kwemakethe ye-bisphenol A sifakwa ekukhiqizeni ngesikhathi esimisiwe, imakethe yamanje ye-bisphenol A ephansi nomfula i-epoxy resin inamathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.54 womthamo esakhiwayo, i-PC inamathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.425 umthamo esakhiwayo, lawa makhono afakwa ekukhiqizeni eminyakeni emi-2-3 ezayo, isidingo semakethe ye-bisphenol A sinokudonsa okuqinile. Ukuhlinzeka, i-bisphenol A siqu ukugcina ukukhula okunengqondo, umthamo wamanje wokukhiqiza we-bisphenol A osakhiwa amathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.83, lawa makhono aqala ukusebenza eminyakeni engu-2-3, ngemva kokukhula kwemboni ngokuyinhloko kusekelwe ekuthuthukisweni okudidiyelwe, isethi eyodwa amadivaysi afakwa ekusebenzeni kwawodwa ukuze kuncishiswe isimo, izinga lokukhula kwemboni lehle liye ezingeni elifanelekile.

2021-2030 Imboni ye-bisphenol A yaseChina isenamathani ayizigidi ezingu-5.52 zamaphrojekthi asakhiwa / ngonyaka, izikhathi ezingu-2.73 umthamo wamathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.025 / ngonyaka ekupheleni kuka-2020, kubonakala sengathi umncintiswano wemakethe we-bisphenol A wesikhathi esizayo ushube kakhulu, ukungqubuzana phakathi kokunikezwa kanye nesidingo emakethe kuzohlehliswa, ikakhulukazi kwabasanda kungena, ukusebenza kwephrojekthi kanye indawo yokumaketha izoba namandla kakhulu.

Ekupheleni kuka-2020 inyanga yasekhaya i-bisphenol A ekukhiqizeni amabhizinisi ayi-11, amandla okukhiqiza amathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.025, kuwo amathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.095 zamabhizinisi angaphandle, amathani angu-630,000 wangasese, amandla okuhlanganisa amathani angu-300,000, ngokulandelana, okubalelwa ku-314% %, 15%. Kusukela ngo-2021 kuya ku-2030, ukuhlelwa kwemakethe ye-bisphenol A yaseChina, amaphrojekthi ahlongozwayo asakhiwayo anamandla angamathani ayizigidi ezingu-5.52, umthamo wokukhiqiza usagxile eMpumalanga China, kodwa ngokwanda kwemboni ye-PC ephansi, eNingizimu China, eNyakatho-mpumalanga, eCentral China. kanye nezinye izindawo zokukhuliswa kwamandla, lapho ukuhanjiswa kwamandla emakethe yasekhaya kwe-bisphenol A kuzolingana, kuyilapho ngokugunyazwa kancane kancane kwephrojekthi, I-bisphenol Ukunikezwa kwemakethe kungaphansi kwesimo sesidingo nakho kancane kancane Isimo sokuthi ukunikezwa kwemakethe ye-BPA kuncane kunesidingo sizoncishiswa kancane kancane, futhi insalela yezinsiza kulindeleke.

2010-2020 kanye nokwanda kwenani lemakethe ye-bisphenol A, ukukhiqizwa kukhombisa ukukhula okuphawulekayo, ngesikhathi sokukhula kwesilinganiso somthamo we-14.3%, izinga lokukhula elihlanganisiwe lokukhiqiza lika-17.1%, izinga lokuqalwa kwemboni lithinteka kakhulu emakethe. intengo, inzuzo yemboni kanye nokulahlekelwa kanye nesikhathi sokusebenza kwamadivayisi amasha, afinyelele izinga eliphakeme lokuqalisa lama-85.6% ngo-2019. Ngo-2021, kanye nemakethe entsha ye-bisphenol A Bisphenol A kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule ngo-2021-2025, isilinganiso sokuqala semakethe yaseChina ye-bisphenol A kulindeleke ukuthi sibonise ukwehla, okuholela ekwehleni kwezinga lokuqala ngenxa yezizathu ezilandelayo. : 1. 2021-2025 Amadivayisi ase-China e-bisphenol A angezwa unyaka nonyaka, kuyilapho ukukhiqizwa kukhishwa kamuva umthamo, okuholela ekwehleni kwezinga lokuqala lika-2021-2025; 2. Intengo ephansi yengcindezi inkulu, isimo senzuzo ephezulu yemboni sanyamalala kancane kancane, kuncike ezindlekweni zokukhiqiza kanye nenzuzo, ukulahlekelwa isikhathi ngesikhathi senhloso yokukhiqiza kuphansi; 3. Kukhona ukugcinwa kwenhlalakahle kwaminyaka yonke kwamabhizinisi, okusukela ezinsukwini ezingama-30-45, ukunakekelwa kwebhizinisi kuthinta izinga lokuqalwa kwemboni.

Esikhathini esizayo, idatha yokukhula okuphawulekayo kwamandla okukhiqiza kanye nokwehla kwezinga lokuqalisa kulindeleke, ingozi yokusebenza kwephrojekthi yesikhathi esizayo ikhule kakhulu. Ukugxila embonini, umthamo we-CR4 wabalelwa ku-68% ngo-2020, wehle wafika ku-27% ngo-2030, ungabonisa ukwanda okukhulu kwabahlanganyeli bemboni ye-bisphenol A, amabhizinisi ahamba phambili embonini azoba nokwehla okukhulu kwesimo; ngasikhathi sinye, ngenxa yokuthi isidingo semakethe esezansi nomfula i-bisphenol A sigxile kakhulu kuma-epoxy resin kanye ne-polycarbonate, ukusatshalaliswa kwensimu kugxilile futhi inani lamakhasimende amakhulu lilinganiselwe, izinga lokuncintisana emakethe ye-bisphenol A yesikhathi esizayo liyakhula, ibhizinisi ukuze kuqinisekiswe isabelo semakethe, ukuqokwa kwesu lokuthengisa kuzovumelana nezimo.

Ukuhlinzekwa kwemakethe kanye nesidingo, ngemuva kuka-2021, imakethe ye-bisphenol A izophinde ingenise inkambiso yokukhula, ikakhulukazi eminyakeni eyi-10 ezayo, izinga lokukhula elihlanganisiwe le-bisphenol A lokukhiqiza elingu-9.9%, kuyilapho izinga lokukhula elihlanganisiwe elisetshenziswa ezansi nomfula elingu-7.3%, I-bisphenol A amandla emakethe ngokweqile, ukungqubuzana kokuhlinzekwa ngokweqile kugqanyisiwe, ingxenye yokuncintisana okubi kwe-bisphenol A amabhizinisi okukhiqiza ingase ibhekane nenkinga yokulandelela okunganele, ukusetshenziswa kwedivayisi.

Esikhathini esizayo ukukhula kwamandla kanye nokwehla kwezinga lokuqalwa kwedatha kulindelekile, ukuhamba kwezinsiza zamaphrojekthi wesikhathi esizayo kanye nesiqondiso sokusetshenziswa komfula kuye kwaba yikona okugxilwe kakhulu kwemiklamo ekhona nezayo.

Ukusetshenziswa phansi komfula kwemakethe ye-Chinese bisphenol A ikakhulukazi iqukethe i-epoxy resin ne-polycarbonate. Ukusetshenziswa kwe-epoxy resin ka-2015-2018 kubale isabelo esikhulu kunazo zonke, kodwa kanye nokunwetshwa komthamo wokukhiqiza we-PC, ukusetshenziswa kwe-epoxy resin kubalwe umkhuba oyancipha. Umthamo wokukhiqiza we-PC ka-2019-2020 ugxile ekukhuleni, kuyilapho umthamo wokukhiqiza i-epoxy resin uzinzile, i-PC yaqala ukubala ngaphezu kwe-epoxy resin, ukusetshenziswa kwe-PC ngo-2020 kwabalelwa ku-49%, yaba isabelo esikhulu kunazo zonke esingaphansi komfula. I-China njengamanje inomthamo oweqile we-basic epoxy resin, ikhwalithi ephezulu kanye nobuchwepheshe obukhethekile be-resin kunzima kakhulu ukugqobhoza, kodwa ngokuthuthukiswa kwamandla omoya, izimoto, ugesi kanye ne-electronic, ukwakhiwa kwengqalasizinda, i-epoxy resin eyisisekelo kanye nokusetshenziswa kwe-polycarbonate ukugcina okuhle. umfutho wokukhula. 2021-2025, nakuba ikhwalithi ephezulu kanye ne-epoxy resin ekhethekile kanye nokunwetshwa kwe-PC synchronous, kodwa isikali sokunwetshwa kwe-PC sikhulu, futhi isilinganiso sokusetshenziswa kwe-PC siphakeme kakhulu kune-Epoxy resin, ngakho-ke kulindeleke ukuthi siqhubeke sandise isilinganiso sokusetshenziswa kwe-PC ngo-2025. finyelela ku-52%, ngakho-ke kusukela esakhiweni esisetshenziswayo esingaphansi komfula, idivayisi ye-PC ye-bisphenol yesikhathi esizayo yokugxila kwephrojekthi yokunaka. Kodwa kufanele kuqashelwe ukuthi amadivaysi amasha e-PC yamanje akhuphuka asekela i-bisphenol A, ngakho-ke isiqondiso se-epoxy resin kusadingeka sibe ukugxila okubalulekile okungeziwe.

Ngokuqondene nezimakethe zabathengi eziyinhloko, abekho abakhiqizi abakhulu be-BPA futhi abekho abathengi abakhulu abangaphansi komfula eNyakatho-ntshonalanga naseNyakatho-mpumalanga yeChina, ngakho akukho ukuhlaziywa okubalulekile okuzokwenziwa lapha. I-East China kulindeleke ukuthi isuke ekuthengeni kancane iye ekuthengeni ngokweqile ngo-2023-2024. INorth China ihlale ihlinzekwa ngokweqile. I-Central China ihlale igcina igebe elithile lokuhlinzeka. Imakethe yaseNingizimu China iphenduka isuka ekuthengeni kancane iye ekuthengeni ngokweqile ngo-2022-2023 futhi iye eningi kakhulu ngo-2025. Kulindeleke ukuthi ngo-2025, imakethe ye-BPA e-China ibuswe ukusetshenziswa kwezinsiza ezizungezile kanye nokuncintisana kwamanani aphansi ukuze kuthathwe imakethe. Kuphakanyiswa ukuthi amabhizinisi e-BPA angabheka ukuthekelisa njengendlela eyinhloko yokusetshenziswa uma ecubungula ukuphuma kwe-peripheral kanye nenani eliphansi ezindaweni ezisetshenziswa kakhulu.