1,Ukukhula ngokushesha kwe-epoxy propane industry scale

I-epoxy propane, njengesiqondiso esibalulekile sokunwetshwa kwamakhemikhali asezingeni eliphansi ochungechungeni lwemboni ye-propylene, ithole ukunakwa okungakaze kubonwe embonini yamakhemikhali yaseShayina. Lokhu ikakhulukazi kungenxa yesikhundla sayo esibalulekile kumakhemikhali amahle kanye nesimo sokuthuthuka esilethwa uchungechunge lwezimboni lwemikhiqizo emisha ehlobene namandla. Ngokusho kwedatha yezibalo, ngasekupheleni kuka-2023, izinga lemboni ye-epoxy propane yaseShayina selidlule amathani ayizigidi ezingu-7.8 ngonyaka, elikhuphuke cishe ngokuphindwe kashumi uma kuqhathaniswa no-2006. Kusukela ngo-2006 kuya ku-2023, isikali sezimboni ze-epoxy propane e-China sabonisa. isilinganiso sokukhula kwaminyaka yonke esingu-13%, okuyivelakancane embonini yamakhemikhali. Ikakhulukazi kule minyaka emine edlule, isilinganiso sokukhula kwezinga lemboni sidlule ku-30%, okubonisa umfutho wokukhula omangalisayo.

Umfanekiso 1 Izinguquko zezinga lokusebenza zonyaka ze-epoxy propane e-China

Ngemuva kwalokhu kukhula okusheshayo, kunezici eziningi ezikushayelayo. Okokuqala, njengesandiso esibalulekile esisezansi nomfula sochungechunge lwemboni ye-propylene, i-epichlorohydrin iyisihluthulelo sokuzuza intuthuko ecolisisiwe emabhizinisini azimele. Ngokushintshwa nokuthuthukiswa kwemboni yamakhemikhali yasekhaya, amabhizinisi amaningi anaka umkhakha wamakhemikhali amahle, futhi i-epoxy propane, njengengxenye yayo ebalulekile, ngokwemvelo iye yathola ukunakwa okubanzi. Okwesibili, ulwazi lokuthuthukiswa kwamabhizinisi aphumelelayo njenge-Wanhua Chemical lubeke uphawu lokulinganisa embonini, futhi ukuhlanganiswa kwawo okuphumelelayo kochungechunge lwezimboni kanye namamodeli entuthuko emisha ahlinzeka ngereferensi kwamanye amabhizinisi. Ukwengeza, ngokuthuthuka okusheshayo kwemboni yezamandla entsha, ukuxhumana kwezimboni phakathi kwe-epoxy propane kanye nemikhiqizo emisha ehlobene namandla nakho kulethe indawo ebanzi yokuthuthukiswa.

Nokho, lokhu kwanda okusheshayo nakho kuye kwaletha uchungechunge lwezinkinga. Okokuqala, ukwanda okusheshayo kwezinga lemboni kuholele ekuphikisaneni kwezidingo ezikhulayo. Nakuba isidingo semakethe se-epoxy propane siqhubeka sikhula, izinga lokukhula lokuhlinzeka ngokusobala liyashesha, okuholela ekwehleni okuqhubekayo kwezinga lokusebenza kwamabhizinisi kanye nokuncintisana kwezimakethe okushubile. Okwesibili, kunesimo esibucayi sokuncintisana okufanayo ngaphakathi kwemboni. Ngenxa yokuntuleka kobuchwepheshe obuyisisekelo namandla okusungula, amabhizinisi amaningi awanazo izinzuzo ezihlukene zokuncintisana ngekhwalithi yomkhiqizo, ukusebenza, nezinye izici, futhi angaqhudelana kuphela ngesabelo semakethe ngezimpi zamanani nezinye izindlela. Lokhu akuthinti nje kuphela inzuzo yamabhizinisi, kodwa futhi kuvimbela intuthuko enempilo yemboni.

2,Ukuqina kokungqubuzana kwezidingo zokuhlinzeka

Ngokukhula okusheshayo kwemboni ye-epoxy propane, ukungqubuzana kwezidingo zokunikezwa nakho kuya ngokuya kuba kubi kakhulu. Eminyakeni engu-18 edlule, isilinganiso sokusebenza kwe-epoxy propane e-China sesicishe sibe ngama-85%, sigcina ukuthambekela okuzinzile. Kodwa-ke, kusukela ngo-2022, izinga lokusebenza le-epoxy propane lizokwehla kancane kancane, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi lehle liye cishe ku-70% ngo-2023, okuwumlando ophansi. Lolu shintsho lubonisa ngokugcwele ukushuba kokuncintisana kwezimakethe kanye nokuqiniswa kokungqubuzana kwezidingo zokuhlinzeka.

Kunezizathu ezimbili eziyinhloko zokuqiniswa kokungqubuzana kwezidingo zokuhlinzeka. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngokwanda ngokushesha kwezinga lemboni, ayanda amabhizinisi angena emakethe ye-epoxy propane, okuholela ekuncintisaneni kwezimakethe. Ukuze ziqhudelane ngesabelo semakethe, izinkampani kufanele zehlise amanani entengo futhi zikhuphule umkhiqizo, okuholela ekwehleni okuqhubekayo kwamazinga okusebenza. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, izindawo ezisetshenziswayo ezansi nomfula ze-epoxy propane zilinganiselwe, ikakhulukazi zigxile emikhakheni ye-polyether polyols, i-dimethyl carbonate, i-propylene glycol, ne-alcohol ethers. Phakathi kwazo, ama-polyether polyols yinkambu eyinhloko yokusetshenziswa komfula we-epoxy propane, ebalelwa ku-80% noma ngaphezulu kokusetshenziswa okuphelele kwe-epoxy propane. Kodwa-ke, izinga lokukhula kokusetshenziswa kulo mkhakha lihambisana nezinga lokukhula komnotho waseShayina, futhi ukukhula kwezimboni kungaphansi kuka-6%, okuhamba kancane kakhulu kunezinga lokukhula kokunikezwa kwe-epoxy propane. Lokhu kusho ukuthi nakuba isidingo semakethe sikhula, izinga lokukhula lihamba kancane kakhulu kunezinga lokukhula kokuhlinzeka, okuholela ekuqiniseni ukungqubuzana kwezidingo zokuhlinzeka.

3,Ukwehliswa kokuncika kwamanye amazwe

Ukuncika kwamanye amazwe kungenye yezinkomba eziyinhloko zokulinganisa igebe lokuhlinzekwa kwempahla emakethe yasekhaya, futhi kuyipharamitha ebalulekile ebonisa izinga lesikali sokungenisa kwamanye amazwe. Eminyakeni eyi-18 eyedlule, isilinganiso sokuncika kwamanye amazwe kwe-epoxy propane yaseShayina sesisondele ku-14%, safinyelela ku-22%. Kodwa-ke, ngokuthuthuka okusheshayo kwemboni yasekhaya ye-epoxy propane kanye nokwanda okuqhubekayo kwesikali sasekhaya, ukuncika kwamanye amazwe kubonise ukwehla kwesitayela unyaka nonyaka. Kulindeleke ukuthi ngo-2023, ukuncika kweChina kwamanye amazwe ku-epoxy propane kuzokwehla kuze kufike ku-6%, kufinyelele ezingeni eliphansi emlandweni eminyakeni eyi-18 edlule.

Umfanekiso 2 Ithrendi yokuncika kwe-China ku-epoxy propane engenisiwe

Ukwehla kokuncika ekuthengeni kwamanye amazwe kudalwe ikakhulukazi izici ezimbili. Okokuqala, ngokwanda ngokushesha kwemboni yasekhaya ye-epoxy propane, ikhwalithi nokusebenza kwemikhiqizo yasekhaya kuye kwaba ngcono kakhulu. Amabhizinisi amaningi asekhaya enze impumelelo ebalulekile ekusungulweni okusha kwezobuchwepheshe kanye nokucwaninga nokuthuthukiswa kwemikhiqizo, okuholele ekutheni izinga le-epoxy propane ekhiqizwa kuleli licishe lifane nemikhiqizo ethunyelwa kwamanye amazwe. Lokhu kunikeze amabhizinisi asekhaya ithuba elikhulu lokuncintisana emakethe futhi kwehlise ukuncika kwawo emikhiqizweni ethengwa kwamanye amazwe. Okwesibili, ngokwanda okuqhubekayo komthamo wokukhiqiza we-epoxy propane wasekhaya, umthamo wokuhlinzeka ngemakethe uthuthukiswe kakhulu. Lokhu kwenza amabhizinisi asekhaya akwazi ukuhlangabezana kangcono nezidingo zemakethe futhi anciphise isidingo semikhiqizo evela kwamanye amazwe.

Nokho, ukwehla kokuncika kwamanye amazwe nakho kulethe uchungechunge lwezinkinga. Okokuqala, ngokwanda okuqhubekayo kwemakethe yasekhaya ye-epoxy propane kanye nokukhula okuqhubekayo kwesidingo, ingcindezi yokuhlinzekwa kwemikhiqizo yasekhaya nayo iyanda. Uma amabhizinisi asekhaya engakwazi ukuqhubeka nokwandisa umkhiqizo kanye nekhwalithi, ukungqubuzana kwezidingo zokuhlinzekwa kwemakethe kungase kuqhubeke kushube. Okwesibili, ngokuncipha kokuthembela kwamanye amazwe, amabhizinisi asekhaya abhekene nengcindezi enkulu yokuncintisana nezimakethe. Ukuze uqhudelane ngesabelo semakethe futhi ugcine ukuncintisana, amabhizinisi asekhaya adinga ukuqhubeka nokwenza ngcono izinga lawo lobuchwepheshe namandla okusungula izinto ezintsha.

4,Ukuhlaziywa kwesimo sentuthuko yesikhathi esizayo

Imakethe yaseShayina ye-epoxy propane izobhekana nochungechunge lwezinguquko ezijulile esikhathini esizayo. Ngokusho kwedatha yezibalo, kulindeleke ukuthi isilinganiso sembonini ye-epoxy propane yaseChina izodlula amathani ayizigidi ezingu-14 / ngonyaka ngo-2030, futhi izinga lokukhula elijwayelekile lonyaka lizohlala lisezingeni eliphezulu lika-8.8% kusukela ngo-2023 kuya ku-2030. Lesi silinganiso sokukhula okusheshayo ngokungangabazeki kuzoqhubeza phambili ingcindezi yokuhlinzeka emakethe futhi kwandise ubungozi bokugcwala ngokweqile.

Izinga lokusebenza kwemboni ngokuvamile lithathwa njengenkomba ebalulekile yokuhlola ukuthi imakethe iyinsada yini. Uma izinga lokusebenza lingaphansi kwama-75%, kungase kube khona ukweqisa emakethe. Izinga lokusebenza lithonywa ngokuqondile izinga lokukhula kwemakethe yabathengi. Njengamanje, inkambu eyinhloko yokusetshenziswa komfula we-epoxy propane yi-polyether polyols, ehlanganisa ngaphezu kuka-80% wengqikithi yokusetshenziswa. Kodwa-ke, ezinye izindawo ezisetshenziswayo ezifana ne-dimethyl carbonate, i-propylene glycol ne-alcohol ether, ama-flame retardants, nakuba zikhona, zinengxenye encane kanye nokusekelwa okulinganiselwe kokusetshenziswa kwe-epichlorohydrin.

Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi izinga lokukhula kokusetshenziswa kwe-polyether polyols ngokuyisisekelo lihambisana nezinga lokukhula komnotho waseShayina, futhi ukukhula kwawo kwezimboni kungaphansi kuka-6%, kuphansi kakhulu kunezinga lokukhula kokunikezwa kwe-epoxy propane. Lokhu kusho ukuthi nakuba izinga lokukhula ngasohlangothini lwabathengi lihamba kancane, ukukhula okusheshayo ohlangothini lokuhlinzeka kuzothuthukisa ukuhlinzekwa kanye nemvelo yesidingo semakethe ye-epoxy propane. Eqinisweni, u-2023 kungenzeka ukuthi usewunyaka wokuqala wokutholakala ngokweqile embonini ye-epoxy propane yase-China, futhi amathuba okuthenga ngokweqile esikhathini eside asalokhu ephezulu.

I-Epoxy propane, njengomkhiqizo wesikhashana ekuthuthukisweni okusheshayo kwemboni yamakhemikhali yaseChina, inezici zayo eziyingqayizivele. Kudinga ukuthi imikhiqizo ibe nezici ze-homogeneity kanye nesikali, kuyilapho inezithiyo zokutshala izimali eziphansi kanye nezithiyo zobuchwepheshe, kanye nokufinyelela kalula ezintweni zokusetshenziswa. Ngaphezu kwalokho, kufanele futhi ibe nezimpawu ezimaphakathi ochungechungeni lwezimboni, okusho ukuthi ingafinyelela ukunwetshwa okuphansi kochungechunge lwezimboni. Lezi zinhlobo zemikhiqizo zidlala indima ebalulekile ekuthuthukisweni okucolisisiwe kwemboni yamakhemikhali, kodwa futhi zibhekana nobungozi bokushaqisa kwe-homogenization yemakethe.

Ngakho-ke, kumabhizinisi akhiqiza i-epoxy propane, indlela yokufuna ukwahlukanisa ekuthuthukisweni kochungechunge lwezimboni emqhudelwaneni wezimakethe oshubile kanye nendlela yokusebenzisa ubuchwepheshe obuthuthuke kakhulu ukunciphisa izindleko zokukhiqiza kuzoba ukucatshangelwa okubalulekile kwamasu ekuthuthukisweni kwawo kwesikhathi esizayo.